Trump’s Déjà-Vu Moment on Birthright Citizenship

More political posturing and material for the courts:

…Yesterday, Trump attempted to do some of the same things via new executive orders. One is intended to deny automatic citizenship to children born to people living in the United States while working for a foreign government and children of people declared to be terrorists or adversaries of the U.S. It would also deny citizenship to people born in U.S. territories if Congress passes a proposed lawallowing that, creating a new group of stateless people. The second order is intended to prevent the practice of “birth tourism,” in which people visiting the United States on tourist visas give birth to babies who are then U.S. citizens.

Legal experts and advocates say the orders are unconstitutional, and they are certain to be challenged in court. Trump’s loss at the Supreme Court seems to make these orders a long shot. As Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in his opinion for the Court, “children born of parents unlawfully or temporarily present in the United States” satisfy the relevant conditions and thus “under the Constitution, they are citizens at birth.”

The language in the orders about “alien enemies” is another likely area for dispute, not because anyone is eager to welcome the children of bona fide adversaries but because this administration has made absurd claims about illegal immigration constituting an “invasion,” which makes no sense on its face and has been rejected by federal judges.

Trump’s announcement of the orders at the White House yesterday was full of fabrications, exaggerations, and lies. Trump claimed that the Fourteenth Amendment “was meant for the babies of slaves. It was—it was right after—one week or two weeks after the Civil War ended.” In fact, it passed three years later, in 1868. The presidential adviser Stephen Miller echoed the same idea, saying that the amendment “had no other meaning and purpose outside of that, and that’s been clear, obviously, since the day that it was passed.” When a politician uses the word obviously—like frankly—that’s a good sign that what follows will be neither obvious nor true. If this had been obvious since 1868, the U.S. wouldn’t have acted otherwise for more than a century, and the Supreme Court would have ruled in favor of the administration….

Source: Trump’s Déjà-Vu Moment on Birthright Citizenship

Under Hegseth, Women’s Share of Top Military Promotions Plunged This Year

Not surprising and not justified:

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s blocking of promotions for high-ranking women in the military has contributed to the lowest percentage of such nominations for women in at least 25 years, according to a New York Times analysis.

Eight of 201 candidates for high-ranking posts this year have been women, or 4 percent — less than half the average percentage of the past 10 years.

More women could still be promoted this year. And the number of women nominated for promotion in any year is relatively small, so the percentages can fluctuate based on a few individual officers. In 2012, for example, the percentage of high-ranking nominations going to women also fell below 5 percent.

But the proportion of female nominees would be higher in 2026 if not for Mr. Hegseth’s actions. He has blocked at least 40 high-ranking promotions from reaching the Senate in recent months — some for white men, but about half for women and people of color, The Times has reported….

Source: Under Hegseth, Women’s Share of Top Military Promotions Plunged This Year

ICYMI: Trump Immigration Policies Make It Harder To Get And Keep Citizenship

Of note:

The Trump administration is implementing policies to make U.S. citizenship harder to acquire and easier to revoke. The Department of Justice has prioritized denaturalization, aiming for 100-200 cases monthly, a major increase. USCIS has made the civics test more difficult, proposed significant fee hikes up to 80% and eliminated hardship waivers. Naturalization denial rates have more than doubled, and application processing has plummeted by 75%, leading to a growing backlog despite fewer applications. Critics argue these measures are designed to discourage naturalization and restrict immigration.

Source: Trump Immigration Policies Make It Harder To Get And Keep Citizenship

Deadline passes for Trump to ask Supreme Court to reconsider birthright citizenship ruling

Telling:

The deadline passed Tuesday for the Trump administration to ask the Supreme Court to reconsider its rejection of the president’s birthright citizenship restrictions, with no new filing on the docket.

President Donald Trump vowed to seek a rehearing shortly after the opinion handed him a loss on a signature issue, but by Tuesday the 25-day window had elapsed with no new activity. 

A petition would face long odds: The court has not agreed to rehear an argued case in more than 50 years. 

The high court’s 6-3 decision in June struck down Trump’s executive order that would have denied automatic citizenship to children born in the United States whose parents are in the U.S. illegally or temporarily. 

The Republican president’s restrictions on birthright citizenship had been blocked by several lower courts before reaching the justices, and they did not take effect anywhere in the U.S….

Source: Deadline passes for Trump to ask Supreme Court to reconsider birthright citizenship ruling

Nicolas | Tiers pays sûr, vraiment?

Hard to see the STCA surviving the court challenge:

…Empêcher les demandes d’asile de personnes ayant transité par les États-Unis est décrié comme un problème majeur par les défenseurs des droits de la personne depuis des années. Mais avec Trump et la violence politique de l’ICE, la situation s’est lourdement encore aggravée. Lorsque le statut de protection temporaire pour les Haïtiens prendra effectivement fin, et que les expulsions massives reprendront malgré la gravité de la situation à Port-au-Prince, comment Ottawa pourra-t-il se justifier de toujours considérer les États-Unis comme un « pays sûr » ? Et sinon, ces personnes devraient aller où, au juste ? Quelle avenue, quel avenir leur restera-t-il, encore ?”

Source: Chronique | Tiers pays sûr, vraiment?

… Preventing asylum applications from people who have passed through the United States has been decried as a major problem by human rights defenders for years. But with Trump and the political violence of the ICE, the situation has worsened even more. When the temporary protection status for Haitians actually ends, and mass expulsions resume despite the seriousness of the situation in Port-au-Prince, how can Ottawa justify still considering the United States as a “safe country”? And if not, where exactly should these people go? What avenue, what future will they have, again?”

U.S. deportation roundups are surging while staying out of the public eye

Of note:

…The experience here is indicative of what is happening across the country. Mass roundups are escalating even as the White House has mostly stopped publicizing ICE raids since federal agents gunned down two U.S. citizens during immigration operations in Minneapolis in January.

ICE arrested 39,563 people in June, its highest-ever monthly total, according to figures released this week by the agency. That same month, Republican lawmakers authorized a further US$70-billion for the deportation campaign. In July so far, ICE is approaching an average of 1,500 arrests a day.

And after being largely out of the public eye since January, the dragnet is attracting renewed attention after ICE shot and killed two immigrants – Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Texas and Joan Sebastián Guerrero in Maine – during traffic stops this month….

Source: U.S. deportation roundups are surging while staying out of the public eye

How curbing immigration is hurting the U.S. economy

Latest in a series of studies and data:

…A study from the Brookings Institution found that, during the first half of 2025, arrests by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement cost 668,000 jobs.

Each arrest, the paper estimated, eliminates an average of 13 jobs as the effects ripple through the local labour market. If a company framing new houses is struggling to complete a project because it can’t find enough labour, for instance, this slows down or stalls the roofing crew and other construction workers.

And if immigrants stop going out as much for fear of being swept up in an ICE raid, this can hit a broad range of economic sectors, such as arts and entertainment.

“What happens when you pull migrants out of the labour force? Many of the jobs that are built around them also disappear,” said Marcela Escobari, a former U.S. Agency for International Development official who co-authored the study for Brookings, a Washington-based think tank….

Source: How curbing immigration is hurting the U.S. economy

ICYMI: The Trump administration is deporting a million migrants. Here’s what it means for Canada

Hard to see that the STCA will survive the court challenge:

…Aisling Bondy, president of the Canadian Association of Refugee Lawyers, believes the U.S. court decisions will further strengthen the pending legal challenges against the Safe Third Country Agreement before Canadian courts.

“The U.S. Supreme Court decision shows just how bad the situation for refugees and migrants is getting in the United States, and just how much Canada is breaching our human rights obligations by not allowing people to make refugee claims at the Canadian border,” she said.

Aiken of Queen’s said this is the moment for Canada to suspend the bilateral agreement. If not, she added, Ottawa should at least amend the proposed regulations of Bill C-12 to build in more exceptions so that people could retain access to asylum based on appropriate circumstances.

Source: The Trump administration is deporting a million migrants. Here’s what it means for Canada

The [SCOTUS] Birthright Decision Was Surprisingly Close, Some Legal Scholars Say

Surprising, but perhaps not for this court:

On the final day of its term, the Supreme Court issued a majority opinion with a clear message: Birthright citizenship is a right guaranteed by the 14th Amendment of the Constitution.That decision on Tuesday, striking down President Trump’s executive order limiting birthright citizenship, reaffirmed decades of legal thought and practice.

But some civil rights advocates, lawyers and legal scholars were surprised that four justices — Clarence Thomas, Brett M. Kavanaugh, Samuel A. Alito Jr. and Neil M. Gorsuch — said that they did not see birthright citizenship as a constitutional right for certain groups.

(Justice Kavanaugh agreed with the majority’s decision to strike down Mr. Trump’s executive order, but based his reasoning on a federal statute rather than on the 14th Amendment.)

“This should have been a 9-0 decision,” said Bethany Li, executive director of the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund, which filed an amicus brief against the president’s order.

For more than a century, there was broad consensus among most legal scholars and the courts that the 14th Amendment extended citizenship not just to the children of formerly enslaved people, but also to nearly all babies born within the United States. It was only when Mr. Trump began running for office, in 2015, that a once-fringe academic theory — that the 14th Amendment was only about slavery, and did not cover the children of temporary visitors — started to gain political and legal traction.

The momentum culminated in Mr. Trump’s executive order on his first day back in office last year to end birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants and some temporary foreign residents.

“A year and a half ago, people said there was no support for this view, that it was ahistorical and atextual,” said Ilan Wurman, a law professor at the University of Minnesota who filed an amicus brief in support of Mr. Trump’s executive order. “So to get four votes for the Trump administration’s position here is quite a coup.”

To be sure, the ruling was ultimately a win for proponents of birthright citizenship….

Source: The Birthright Decision Was Surprisingly Close, Some Legal Scholars Say

More Haitians will try to come to Canada after U.S. court decision, advocate says

Likely. Open data will allow tracking the numbers:

A Montreal-based advocate for asylum seekers says Canada should expect a new wave of Haitians trying to enter from the United States after a court decision allowing the Trump administration to end legal protections for migrants fleeing violence and natural disasters in Haiti and Syria.

Frantz André says he knows of several people who are making the journey north from the United States after learning of the U.S. Supreme Court decision that exposes hundreds of thousands of people to potential detention and deportation.

André says some of the new arrivals will be allowed to stay and file an asylum claim because they have close family in Canada.

Source: More Haitians will try to come to Canada after U.S. court decision, advocate says