Globe editorial: Canada is an immigration nation

Latest Globe immigration editorial advocating for an increased share of economic immigration, partly to replace needed reductions of international students and temporary workers, in the context of overall levels of one percent of the population, or about 400,000, a reduction of about 20 percent from 2025 target:

But the fact remains that Canada needs immigrants, badly. Statistics Canada reported last week that the total fertility rate has declined to 1.33 children per woman, far below 2.1 replacement rate that ensures a stable population. Without robust immigration, Canada would lack the workers needed to fill labour shortages, and to pay the taxes that sustain social services and pensions.

Other developed countries that do not embrace immigration, from Japan to Poland, are experiencing weak economic growth and relentless population decline. To prevent that, Canada needs to maintain an intake target of about 1 per cent of the existing population annually.

Lastly, economic migration should be the focus of any expansion of overall immigration targets. Ottawa is already moving in that direction, with the economic migration category edging up to a planned 60 per cent of the total in 2026 from 58 per cent in 2022. That proportion should continue to rise, with other categories increasing at a slower pace.

Canada’s history of welcoming newcomers is not just one of this country’s finest characteristics – it is one of our biggest competitive advantages. Measured action now can restore confidence to the immigration system that has served Canada so well for so many years.

Source: Canada is an immigration nation

Madhany: Immigration is our future

Not convinced that centralizing immigration in PCO/PMO will make much difference given the overall degree of centralization of this government. Whether more consultations with the provinces and stakeholders (interest groups) would be more effective, arguably existing consultations have resulted in today’s mess:

….At the same time, last year, 1.2 million immigrants arrived in this country, the highest level ever recorded in this country’s history. Canada also broke the 40-million mark in terms of population. This population influx has heightened strains and fractures in longstanding, complex issues around housing affordability, health care, economic mobility, and more. 

Complex issues require cohesive solutions. So, as we enter a new parliamentary session, we ask for the government to bring a holistic approach to this critical issue. That includes centralizing the issue at the federal level in the Office of the Prime Minister and Privy Council Office. That includes incentivizing collaboration and ensuring accountability at the provincial level. And that includes ensuring that immigrant leaders and immigrant-serving organizations have a seat at the table when these issues are being discussed, along with employers, regulators and others invested in the success of this country and its newest residents. 

Immigrants are and must be part of the solution to complex issues facing Canada and our global community. From the health-care industry to the construction industry, and from Ontario to the Northwest Territories, we can bring our skills and our abilities to bear across the nation to help move this country forward. We are ready to work together with all levels of government and stakeholders who serve newcomers to create the long-term immigration strategy Canada desperately needs. We believe immigration is our future, and we are ready to dig in together to make it happen.

Shamira Madhany is the managing director for Canada and deputy executive director at World Education Services.

Source: Immigration is our future

Ottawa must restore balance between its temporary and permanent resident programs

Arguably, IRCC could include temporary workers and international students in the annual levels plan in advance of an amendment to IRPA given that no such amendment is likely during the current parliamentary session;

….

legislative amendment should also require the minister to include such details and future planning in reports to Parliament. And in the short term, aside from readjusting the overall immigration balance, Ottawa could shift proportions within the temporary streams to prioritize helping critical industries such as health care, construction, educational services and agriculture.

There may be pushback from businesses that have grown dependent on this source of cheap labour, but this can be mitigated if their concerns are taken seriously when they tell the government that Canadians are unwilling to do certain jobs. We cannot dismiss the reality that part of the service sector can only survive with low-wage, low-skill foreign workers. This issue is not unique to Canada, though, and it will not disappear tomorrow.

To maintain Canada’s pro-immigration consensus, welcoming newcomers should generally be tied to a pro-economic-growth vision. Allowing many businesses to depend on low-skill temporary workers disincentivizes investments that increase productivity, so Mr. Miller should reduce the proportion of temporary resident visas in relation to permanent ones. The challenge will be in doing this humanely, while recognizing the contribution of low-skill migrants.

Source: Ottawa must restore balance between its temporary and permanent resident programs

Globe editorial: Let’s get Canada’s foreign student program back to the classroom

Well said:

The program is in chaos, a failure of federalism, where both Ottawa and the provinces have neglected to work together to execute their respective responsibilities. The program should never have been tailored to address short-term labour market demands for truck drivers and child care workers.

Canada can have an international student program that shines again, if both levels of government reconnect with its original, higher purpose.

source: Let’s get Canada’s foreign student program back to the classroom

Moffatt: Canada is failing the grade on housing. Fixing that starts with international students, but it shouldn’t end there

Good overview of issues and needed steps. Perhaps overly optimistic regarding possibility of “doing it all:”

Beyond individual policies, though, what Canada needs most are co-ordination and alignment between our housing and population growth policies, as well as robust population forecasts to plan our needs not just in housing, but in schools, hospitals and other public infrastructure, too. Capping yearly non-permanent resident growth, in the same way that the country caps immigration, is essential for this planning. Canada may have been caught off-guard by how quickly our population has grown in the past two years, but this failure to forecast cannot happen again, as it doesn’t just affect our housing market – it puts Canada’s entire immigration system in disrepute with Canadians.

The good news is that we have a chance to do it all: simultaneously solve Canada’s housing crisis, grow our population, address the climate challenge and have a flourishing high-education system. We can build enough housing for existing residents and the newcomers who contribute so much to Canada’s economic and cultural vibrancy. And the vision to attract the best and brightest to the country to offset the effects of an aging population is sound, too: Integrating the higher-education system into the immigration system to give newcomers Canadian credentials and experiences is fantastic and should not be abandoned. But to achieve this, we need public policies that meet the ambition of our vision to ensure that everyone in Canada, regardless of how long they have been here, has a safe and secure place to call home. A reactionary cap from one level of government, while necessary, cannot be the limit.

Source: Canada is failing the grade on housing. Fixing that starts with international students, but it shouldn’t end there

Emigration of Immigrants: Results from the Longitudinal Immigration Database

Interesting study on part of the immigration churn:

  • Immigration is an increasingly important facet of Canada’s migration dynamics.
  • According to the emigration criterion developed in this study:
    • 5.1% of immigrants admitted between 1982 and 2017 emigrated within five years of landing;
    • This percentage rises to 17.5% 20 years after admission;
    • Annual probabilities of emigrating peak three to seven years after admission.
  • Several immigrant characteristics are linked to emigration:
    • Immigrants born in Taiwan, the United States, France, Hong Kong or Lebanon are more likely to emigrate. Conversely, those born in the Philippines, Vietnam, Sri Lanka or Jamaica are less likely to leave Canada;
    • Immigrants who never had children in their tax family were substantially more likely to emigrate than those who had children. This effect remains strong when other factors are considered;
    • Immigrants admitted to the country at age 65 or older and those with Nova Scotia as their intended province of destination are somewhat more likely to emigrate than those who landed at a younger age. However, these effects disappear when other factors associated with immigrant emigration are taken into account;
    • Immigrants admitted in the investor and entrepreneur categories are more likely to emigrate, while those admitted in the caregiver and refugee categories are less likely to emigrate;
    • Emigration follows a clear gradient based on level of education. Individuals with higher levels of education are more likely to migrate than less educated immigrants;
    • Immigrants who held a non-permanent resident study permit prior to being admitted are especially likely to leave Canada. However, this results mainly from the fact that these immigrants present several characteristics associated with emigration, such as higher levels of education.

Source: Emigration of Immigrants: Results from the Longitudinal Immigration Database

Keller: Here’s a crazy idea: How about a student visa program whose main beneficiary is Canada

Not crazy and worth having this more extreme approach as a basis to compare current and future policies:

….Turning things around calls for doing far more than what federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller announced last month.

Allowing visa students to work an unlimited number of hours off-campus fed the business model for unscrupulous educational operators. Mr. Miller says that in the spring, he may reduce the work limit to 30 hours a week. He needs to go much farther. To end the tuition-for-minimum-wage-work trade, he has to end the right of visa students to work, with the exception of those in highly-paid jobs.

Similarly, post-graduation work permits should only go to those who’ve been offered a highly-paid job. All other graduates will have to leave Canada on graduation, their tuition having purchased education but nothing more. If you have a job offer paying at least, say, $75,000, you get the work permit. If not, you don’t.

One more thing: the feds should raise the cost of a student visa. It currently costs just $150. How about $5,000?

Those three simple steps would separate Canada’s educational wheat from the chaff. And it would do so without provinces and the feds having to micromanage which programs of study are worthy of student visas or work visas or post-graduation visas – a system rife with lobbying and the potential for corruption.

What I’m proposing would put the weakest institutions, public and private, out of the student-visa business. But it would strengthen the strongest and highest-quality institutions, including skilled-trades training programs, and even open new doors for them….

Source: Here’s a crazy idea: How about a student visa program whose main beneficiary is Canada

Immigration lawyers could help curb rejected Canadian visas [African students]

Different if perhaps self-interested take on different approval rates:

African students applying for Canadian study visas stand a better chance of getting the permits when they do so through legal representatives based in the country. Using Canadian immigration lawyers who also directly act for universities they plan to enrol in helps international students better navigate their immigration journey with trust and transparency at the core of the process.

This is contrary to using sub-agents based in African countries who act for aggregator recruitment firms acting for the institutions, a Canadian international students’ migration expert told University World News in reaction to reports of concerns over alarming study visa refusal rates for African students.

Support for international students during the visa application process could become more pressing following an announcement of a 35% cut in the number of student visas Canada will issue.

University World News reported that in an effort to deal with the politically explosive housing and affordability crises that experts say are exacerbated by the more than 800,000 international students in the country, Marc Miller, the minister of immigration, refugees and citizenship, announced the cut, expected to result in a decrease of 364,000 international students coming to Canada this year and next.

University World News also reported earlier that, between 2018 and 30 April 2023, officials at Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) rejected 59% of the visa applications from English-speaking Africans and 74% from French-speaking Africans seeking to study at Canada’s colleges and universities.

The lawyers are available in online platforms that are easy for students to engage with and offer high-quality legal guidance and application review, ensuring that students present their strongest and most comprehensive applications, Michael Pietrocarlo, head of marketing at BorderPass said.

Expert, affordable help

Immigration lawyers such as BorderPass, he claimed, make Canada more accessible to African students “by offering online study permit applications with Canadian legal review – all at a very low cost”. He said they provide better protection for students and ongoing guidance about Canadian immigration laws. The result is that more African students’ applications are successful.

Pietrocarlo denied claims of racial bias in the visa denials, saying it was hard to make a judgment as Canada remained largely supportive of diversity. “In our experience, applications made by African students through BorderPass have high rates of success – just as successful as those from other regions.”

Falsified and fraudulent applications in which the information required is either inaccurate or poorly filled out contribute to rejections, although this does not seem to be a problem with African applications.

“Agents face conflicts of interest, which can lead to misrepresentation aimed at boosting acceptance rates. This ultimately harms the students involved, as shown by the recent Canadian Federal Court decision. Students should be cautioned against relying on agents to submit their study permit applications,” Pietrocarlo cautioned.

Canada’s Federal Court decreed that it was a student’s obligation to ensure the accuracy of the contents of their Canadian study permit. This was after an international student from India was issued a study permit based on a falsified letter of acceptance (LOA), subsequently entering, and studying in Canada, but at a different school from the one listed on the falsified document.

Although the student claimed she was unaware the LOA was false, the Federal Court ruled it unreasonable for an international student to not review or verify the authenticity of their documents.

Students should verify applications

The court further confirmed that students, themselves, are responsible for reviewing and verifying their visa applications and made it clear that students who “rely on foreign agents – who are unaccountable under Canadian law – will be held responsible for misrepresentations, even if made unintentionally, by their agent, or unbeknown to the student”.

According to Pietrocarlo, however, most fraudulent cases have come from outside of Africa, but this is largely because, until recently, Canada was not a major destination for African students. “Nonetheless, the extent of misrepresentation by fraudulent agents was not insignificant and IRCC is instituting stringent oversight as a result, identifying 1,500 cases of suspected fraud in a recent investigation,” he said.

He added that the extent of misrepresentation by lone agents often goes undetected, but cases like the recent one decided by the Federal Court illustrate the harm to students – even if students are unaware of the misrepresentation. “This is why it’s important for students to rely on Canadian legal counsel.

“Based on our research and information from our institutional partners, about 50% of applicants from Africa don’t come through agents and, thus, are left on their own to handle the visa and immigration process – often leading to mistakes or incomplete applications,” he noted.

While the quality of African students seeking to enrol in Canadian universities was as good as that of any other country and met the admissions criteria, the problem often lay with the immigration application, noted another BorderPass official, Max Donsky.

Many agents’ speciality and strength lay in recruitment and admissions, while visa application and the whole migration and stay process was better handled by immigration lawyers, something that was not common in Africa.

“It would be good if agents handled recruitment and admissions and left the migration part to experts,” he told University World News. This, he added, would save students thousands charged by unqualified people posing as migration experts but with little knowledge and ability to guide the students.

“From our own experience in places like Nigeria, Ghana and Kenya, the success rate for getting study permits rises to as high as 80% up from a low of 30%-35% where migration lawyers are used to apply for the permit,” Donsky disclosed.

“Of course, we are not saying we 100% guarantee admission, but our legal teams guide and support them throughout the process, including during their stay, with far better than usual outcomes,” he said.

Rejections blamed on high volume

The high study permit refusal rate was recently blamed on increases in the volume of applications as a result of a recruitment model that invites mass applications and on inexperienced downstream recruitment agents, according to an expert in the field.

The trend extended beyond Africa and has been affecting students in Asia, Latin America and some parts of Europe in the recent past, Earl Blaney, of the Canadian study and residency firm Study2Stay told University World News in an earlier interview.

He suggested that the overseas education agents authorise immigration practitioners as one way of helping to solve the problem of escalating refusal rates, which would also assist with student support throughout students’ stay, and dramatically improve the prospects of skills retention to support Canada’s economic class immigration goals.

While Blaney could not rule out racism as a reason for the refusal rate, he said the refusal rate could be due to the increasingly common aggregator model which entails universities contracting companies to recruit international students.

The companies, in turn, sub-contract agents around the world who are tasked with recruiting as many students as possible. The volume of applications means that, despite high visa refusal rates, diligent students do manage to ultimately

enrol.Source: Immigration lawyers could help curb rejected Canadian visas

Clark: It’s too late for universities and colleges to complain about the foreign student cap

Indeed. They and others should have seen this coming as it was untenable:

Canada’s universities and colleges sent an open letter to Immigration Minister Marc Miller this week about the cap he has imposed on new foreign students.

The gist was this: Please no, don’t do this yet, wait, hold on, we’re not ready, this is too sudden, can you give us a break?

Mr. Miller’s answer should be, in a word, no.

The warnings were ignored for too long – by the feds, by provincial governments especially in Ontario and British Columbia, and by colleges and universities. That left no option apart from ripping the Band-Aid off.

Source: It’s too late for universities and colleges to complain about the foreign student cap

Prime Minister Trudeau failed to follow his own advice on temporary foreign workers

Always easier in opposition than in government but valid reminder of how soon they forget once in government. Trudeau in 2014 had it right:

Massive growth in Canada’s non-permanent resident streams of immigration (including temporary foreign workers and international students) has led to growing calls on the Trudeau government to reform the system. Immigration Minister Marc Miller recently announced a two-year reduction to student visas. The government has so far been silent on possible reforms to the temporary foreign workers stream. 

One unlikely source of advice on such reforms might be Prime Minister Justin Trudeau himself. In 2014, the then-Liberal Party leader wrote a scathing op-ed in the Toronto Star that excoriated the Harper government for the growth of the Temporary Foreign Workers Program (TFWP) under its administration and highlighted the need to “scale it back dramatically.”

He wrote: 

“As a result [of Harper-era policies], the number of short-term foreign workers in Canada has more than doubled, from 141,000 in 2005 to 338,000 in 2012. There were nearly as many temporary foreign workers admitted into the country in 2012 as there were permanent residents — 213,573 of the former compared to 257,887.

At this rate, by 2015, temporary worker entries will outnumber permanent resident entries.

This has all happened under the Conservatives’ watch, despite repeated warnings from the Liberal Party and from Canadians across the country about its impact on middle-class Canadians: it drives down wages and displaces Canadian workers.”

Fast forward a decade and the Trudeau government’s own record on the TFWP has failed to adhere to these sensible insights. 

The figure below displays the number of work permit holders at the end of 2022 through Canada’s two temporary labour migration streams—the TFWP and the International Mobility Program (IMP). The TFWP covers migration programs that require a Labour Market Impact Assessment to receive a work permit such as the live-in caregiver program and various agricultural programs. The IMP does not require labour market assessments and includes individuals working on visas related to trade agreements such as the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Trade Agreement, individuals on post-graduate work permits, and so on. 

Mr. Trudeau was correct in 2014 to observe that there was a more than doubling of the program under the Conservatives before a slight reduction owing to policy changes later that year that included a partial moratorium on new permits and visas.

Graphic credit: Janice Nelson.

Under Trudeau’s tenure as prime minister, however, the number of temporary work permits has grown dramatically—far outstripping those during the Harper government. In 2015, there were a little more than 310,000 temporary work permits. By 2022, the number had more than doubled to almost 800,000. Partial data from 2023 indicate that there was a further increase last year. 

One way to understand this massive increase in the number of temporary foreign workers is to use Trudeau’s own standard of the share relative to permanent residents. He warned in 2014 that the ratio was approaching 1:1. In 2022, there were roughly 440,000 permanent residents admitted into Canada compared to the almost 800,000 working on temporary visas.

This significant growth not only conflicts with Trudeau’s chief recommendation in his op-ed that the TFWP needed to be constrained but also his broader concerns about the risks of an over reliance on temporary foreign workers. 

He concluded: 

“It cuts to the heart of who we are as a country. I believe it is wrong for Canada to follow the path of countries who exploit large numbers of guest workers, who have no realistic prospect of citizenship. It is bad for our economy in that it depresses wages for all Canadians, but it’s even worse for our country. It puts pressure on our commitment to diversity, and creates more opportunities for division and rancour.

We can and must do better.”

Source: Prime Minister Trudeau failed to follow his own advice on temporary foreign workers