Kurland has it right that there is a big difference in interest, based upon web stats, and acting on those interests in terms of applications, as the US interest after Trump’s election demonstrated. IRCC web stats “immigrate to Canada” show a comparable increase in Chinese interest in Canada, but only about 21 percent (January-November 2019 compared to 2021). However, applications from China were essentially flat from 2019, January-October for the same period in 2021 (2022 numbers have a time lag due to data entry delays). Admissions have also remained flat for the same period.And of course, the share of China as a source of immigrants has fallen over past years for a variety of factors:I have been following IRCC web stats for four years now and am not finding any significant correlation with applications and admissions:
China’s most popular internet search engine experienced a 28-times surge in residents looking up the terms “conditions to immigrate to Canada” during the populous country’s severe COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns.
According to an internal Canadian immigration department report obtained under access to information requests by a Vancouver immigration lawyer, the search engine Baidu saw soaring interest in “immigration to Canada” and “immigration” before it suspended use of the terms in April.
There are other signs this year revealing that Chinese citizens, some of whom have launched protests against the country’s zero-COVID policies, have developed an outsized desire to potentially immigrate to Canada or other Western countries.China’s social media and messaging app, WeChat, noted on April 3that viewing of Chinese videos related to “immigration” spiked by 14 times. The word “immigration” was searched 50 million times in one day, says the Canadian immigration department memo.
As well, Canada’s immigration office in China’s capital of Beijing had the highest participation ever on April 14 for its webinar on gaining permanent resident status in Canada, with more than 400 participants.
This is in addition to a separate internal account from a Canadian immigration department staff member in Hong Kong, who said “Canada remains one of the top countries” for the many who are rapidly trying to depart the city because of pandemic rules, unrest and the “heavy handed political policies” of China.
In an unusually candid memo, an unnamed Hong Kong office staff member recounts with regret how she is having to say goodbye to many of her friends because they are taking advantage of their long-held Canadian passports to permanently move to Canada.
“Whether they are thinking of Canada being a respectful and democratic multicultural society, or their own strengths to adapt with highly transferable skills, robust work ethics and substantial capital, Canada continues to be one of their popular choices to begin a new life.”
Vancouver immigration lawyer Richard Kurland, who obtained the documents, said Chinese nationals’ sudden leap in wanting to emigrate to Canada reflects their frustration.
“People in China have basically three options,” he said. They can to try to exit the country, continue to show their loyalty to the Communist regime or complain about their leaders.
“Seeing large numbers of inquiries may be the ‘complain’ option,” Kurland said.
“We see the same in the U.S., when Democrats complain about a new Republican president. Many say they are coming to Canada, but they don’t.”
Indeed, three years ago, 55 jumbo jets from China were touching down at Vancouver International Airport every week.
China’s draconian pandemic lockdowns — which are more strict than anywhere in the world — have reduced travel in and out of the country, with the number of international air passengers across all of China’s airports falling from 74 million in 2019 to 1.5 million last year.
There was a 15 per cent rise in the July-to-September quarter in permanent resident admissions (9,925) from China compared to the third quarter of 2019 (8,690), which was before the pandemic hit.
There are now more than 1.7 million people of Chinese origin in Canada. Of the 512,000 in Metro Vancouver, the 2021 census says 226,000 were born in China, 137,000 in Canada, 81,000 in Hong Kong and 41,000 in Taiwan.
Despite China’s dramatic 2022 jump in inquiries about immigrating to Canada, Kurland said, “There have not been more applying for permanent residence status because you can’t be expected to be selected unless you have been in Canada studying and working. Permanent resident applications in the economic class rarely work, without studying or working in Canada.”
And a summer survey of 11,000 prospective students across Asia, which was weighted to India and China, found that Canada was their top choice.
Canada retained bragging rights as first-choice destination of 27 per cent of respondents, according to the survey by IDP, an education company. Twenty-five per cent chose Australia, 20 per cent nominated the United Kingdom, 18 per cent opted for the U.S. and three per cent looked to New Zealand.
Canada is especially appealing, analysts say, because it offers foreign students a path to citizenship and, unlike most countries, welcomes them to work up to 20 hours a week while studying. Indeed, this year Ottawa went further and announced that foreign students could work unlimited hours.
Cases have been documented, including in Canada, in which people that the regime, for whatever reason, considers “fugitives” are intimidated by various means to return to China.
About Andrew Andrew blogs and tweets public policy issues, particularly the relationship between the political and bureaucratic levels, citizenship and multiculturalism. His latest book, Policy Arrogance or Innocent Bias, recounts his experience as a senior public servant in this area.