StatsCan: Racialized postsecondary Canadian students

Useful data visualizations broken down by new entrants and enrolled, visible minority group, gender, age, field of study. Some interesting variations by group, gender and field of study.

In terms of enrolled, Chinese have the highest percentage in STEM (40 percent) with Black’s the lowest (20 percent), followed by not visible minority (22 percent). For new entrants, similar pattern but with tighter percentage in STEM, Chinese (49 percent), Black (27 percent), not visible minority (29 percent).

Worth exploring.

Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/71-607-x/71-607-x2024020-eng.htm

US judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee for highly skilled foreign workers, calling it unlawful

Courts working (apart from SCOTUS):

A federal judge on Monday struck down a US$100,000 fee U.S. President Donald Trump imposed on new H-1B visas for highly skilled foreign workers, concluding that it constituted an unlawful tax Congress never authorized. 

U.S. District Judge Leo Sorokin in Boston issued the ruling in a lawsuit filed by 20 Democratic state attorneys general challenging a fee Trump announced in September that dramatically raised the cost of obtaining H-1B visas, which tech companies in particular rely heavily on to bring on foreign workers. 

The administration argued the fee constituted a lawful monetary penalty that the president was authorized to impose under federal immigration law, which gives him the power to restrict the entry of certain foreign nationals when he deems it “detrimental to the interests of the United States.”…

Source: US judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee for highly skilled foreign workers, calling it unlawful

ICYMI – Urback: Ottawa will start tracking when temporary residents enter and exit. Perhaps it could consider actual enforcement too?

Agree:

…In other words, not only has Ottawa not been tracking when non-permanent residents enter and exit the country, it is also not taking enforcement action in cases where fraud has clearly been identified, thus leaving applicants’ files unblemished and clear to apply for permanent residency. 

But the department appears unperturbed. The same day as last week’s committee meeting, where Ms. Diab yielded to the gross inadequacies of Canada’s immigration monitoring systems, the minister announced that Ottawa is fast-tracking permanent residency for up to 33,000 temporary foreign workers. 

It’s a mess, of course, with some changes coming by the end of the year, by which time the government would have fast-tracked permanent residency for tens of thousands, and issued hundreds of thousands of new temporary permits. But perhaps while IRCC is experimenting with its new counting pilot, it might want to run a beta on actual enforcement, so we don’t accidentally grant permanent residency to someone who entered the country fraudulently, or allow those who are not legally permitted to remain in the country to stay. It’s just a thought – something to test out to decide if Canada, a purportedly serious country, wants to maintain it permanently.

Source: Ottawa will start tracking when temporary residents enter and exit. Perhaps it could consider actual enforcement too?

ICYMI – Globe editorial: Ottawa’s enduring problem of a surge in temporary workers

Mirrors CPC calls although sceptical that any government could resist business pressures for caregivers and LMIA Temporary Foreign Workers:

…IRCC is doing a better job at managing new arrivals, but it needs to do more to reduce the overall number of work permits. The temporary foreign worker program outside of agriculture should be wound down. It’s also time to take a closer look at the International Mobility Program. 

Immigration is a key driver of Canada’s prosperity, but more needs to be done to move away from the two-step immigration system of the last decade, and return to selecting the highest-skilled immigrants from abroad for permanent residency. Restoring balance has been too slow. The federal government shouldn’t pretend otherwise. 

Source: Ottawa’s enduring problem of a surge in temporary workers

ICC: Fixing Credential Barriers Could Add 16,000 Doctors and 27,000 Nurses to Canada’s Workforce

Useful report and analysis. Hard to see any substantial reason for not having quasi-automatic equivalency between the FPT regulatory bodies:

“…Key Findings

  • Nearly 640,000 immigrant degree-holders are overqualified, a figure that would fall to about 270,000 if immigrants were overqualified at the same rate as the Canadian-born.
  • Only 41 per cent of internationally trained physicians and 37 per cent of internationally trained nurses work in their fields, while 6.5 million Canadians lack a family doctor.
  • Closing the overqualification gap could add roughly 16,000 doctors and 27,000 nurses and related professionals to Canada’s workforce.
  • FQR and related employment barriers cost Canada up to $50 billion annually and weigh down its already weak labour productivity.
  • FQR discrimination has been well-known since at least 1966, yet overqualification has risen, not fallen, despite decades of advocacy efforts.

The report traces the problem to a fragmented system of roughly 500 self-governing licensing bodies, many of which apply discriminatory practices against immigrants with provinces’ tacit permission. The most notable is the “Canadian work experience” requirement that mandates Canadian experience as a condition of licensure but also requires candidates to have a license to gain Canadian experience. This catch-22, deemed discriminatory by the Ontario Human Rights Commission in 2013, is still common. Past reforms have relied on voluntary cooperation and patchy enforcement, leaving the underlying problem intact.

The report calls for a federal Fair Licensing Act, modelled on the Canada Health Act, to drive change across all professions and provinces at once. It recommends:

  • A Fair Licensing Act that rewards provinces removing barriers and withholds funds from those that do not.
  • An accompanying Canada Fair Licensing Transfer tied to measurable performance indicators.
  • Additional levers, such as Provincial Nominee Program allocations, to reinforce compliance.
  • A dedicated Division within Employment and Social Development Canada producing an annual report to Parliament.
  • A Fair Licensing Act Secretariat within the Forum of Labour Market Ministers to coordinate federal-provincial cooperation.

“The Canada Health Act shows the federal government can set national standards on matters of provincial jurisdiction and reward those who meet them. A Fair Licensing Act could do the same for licensing, in every profession and every province at once,” added Bernhard. “Canada doesn’t need marginal improvements. We need a big change across the board, to put immigrant talent to work addressing the needs they were brought here to address.”

Source: Fixing Credential Barriers Could Add 16,000 Doctors and 27,000 Nurses to Canada’s Workforce

Globe editorial: How to punch a hole in the sails of Alberta separatists [immigration]

Some suggestions:

…The same is true for immigration. Negotiating a deal like Quebec’s, under which the province largely has control over who can settle there, would be a complicated and lengthy process. But Mr. Carney could quickly agree to other fixes while working toward longer term symmetry between Quebec and Alberta.

Those fixes could include increasing the provinces’ allocation under the provincial nominee program and letting them have a greater say over what kind of workers they need. Ottawa could also agree to provide the provinces with funding to house and care for temporary workers – a beef that isn’t limited to Alberta….

Source: How to punch a hole in the sails of Alberta separatists

Keller: Canada’s economy used to look better than it really was. Now, it’s the opposite

Good take:

…The conclusion to draw is not that immigration makes Canada poorer, or that a shrinking population is the route to prosperity. As for the Trudeau government’s belief that rapid population growth would automatically make us all richer, that’s not true either.

What happened prior to 2025 is that immigration outpaced business investment. The number of workers grew faster than the number of tools. That delivered more production, but declining productivity. Our immigration system also became focused on recruiting low-wage workers – another route for suppressing GDP per capita.

The Canadian economic pie is now 7.3 per cent larger than it was at the start of 2022. But per capita GDP, the average slice of pie, still has not recovered to where it was four years ago. 

Source: Canada’s economy used to look better than it really was. Now, it’s the opposite

Canadian Immigration Tracker: First Quarter 2026

Delayed due to grandparent duty!

While I was away: Temporary Residents

Some articles of interest:

Rempel Garner: Liberals spent $1.6B on Temporary Foreign Worker program, new data shows

Virtue signalling. A CPC government would face the same pressures from the business community and provincial governments:

….Therefore, particularly in light of the recession, the TFW program should be immediately abolished and replaced with a standalone program solely dedicated to fill legitimately hard-to-fill seasonal agricultural positions. In no universe should its administration in its present iteration be funded to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars by Canadian taxpayers who themselves are struggling to find and keep work….

Tim Hortons commits to hiring 10,000 local employees, scaling back on temporary foreign workers

Hopefully, they will publish the numbers for accountability:

Tim Hortons is pledging to hire some 10,000 local employees, rolling back its reliance on the temporary foreign worker program.

The coffee chain says 400 hiring events have already taken place throughout March and April, and that the hiring blitz of local team members will continue throughout the year.

It’s a bit of a change for the company, which has in the past relied on the temporary foreign worker program to pull in new employees. Tim Hortons says it turned to the foreign worker program following the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, when the country experienced a shortage of workers….

ApplyBoard faces a reckoning as Canada’s immigration boom turns into a bust

Had it coming it appears:

….Behind the scenes, however, things were messier. The Logic spoke to 17 former ApplyBoard employees who worked at a variety of levels and in a wide range of roles—from the company’s launch to recent months—to tell the inside story of a startup that played a key role during a pivotal time in Canada’s history. The sources requested anonymity out of fear of professional and legal repercussions. 

The former workers talked of pervasive culture problems amid immense pressure to expand as ApplyBoard’s leaders lionized the work-hard, play-hard ethos of Silicon Valley at the expense of workplace boundaries and norms. The results, say the departed staffers, were incidents of recklessness and questionable judgment by senior managers, including sexual harassment and discrimination. They also said managers brushed off well-known problems with document fraud and unscrupulous recruiting agents, prioritizing growth over academic integrity and student well-being….

Usher, the college and university consultant who has worked with ApplyBoard, likewise doesn’t pin the consequences of high foreign-student numbers on the company that helped match students to schools that wanted them.

“Business conditions are a function of government regulation,” says Usher. “Did they strike it rich in Canada because of the policy environment? Yeah, they did. Good for them. They didn’t create that policy environment. They took advantage of it. That’s what businesses do.”…

ApplyBoard’s services especially appealed to colleges that don’t have the reputations of major universities or the resources to run wide recruitment operations overseas, and they offered too little in return, Skuterud says.

“If you look at the programs these students were in, overwhelmingly the growth was in these business programs with low cost for the college,” Skuterud says. “You just need one more seat in the classroom.”

That’s not arranging a beautiful intellectual marriage, he says—it’s much grubbier….

End the sleight of hand of immigration consultants 

Ongoing debate between lawyers and consultants. Certainly the latter are more prone to fraud:

The new rules give the immigration ministry more power to take action if the college doesn’t fulfill its mandate: the immigration minister can appoint someone to take over the board’s duties if it doesn’t meet its responsibilities. But instead of doubling down on a failed model, it’s well past time that Ottawa moved on to a new solution. 

Given attempts for separate regulation haven’t worked, immigration consultants should be required to work under the supervision of lawyers. There should still be requirements for training, like paralegals, but they would operate under the rules of provincial and territorial law societies, which closely monitor lawyers. For example, lawyers are subject to spot audits to examine their financial records. This more proactive approach would help root out problems. 

Law societies could create public blacklists of consultants, lawyers, employers and recruiters found guilty of fraud. They could also crack down aggressively on ghost consultants. While it might seem that putting lawyers in charge will drive up costs for clients, in reality, many of the independent consultants – in particular the shady ones – already charge their clients very high fees. 

Instead of more half-measures, Ottawa needs to implement real reform. The immigration consultant sector is a stain on Canada’s reputation, and it needs to be cleaned up now. 

While I was away: Immigration

Some immigration articles I found interesting:

Regg Cohn | The history of humanity is the story of human migration

Reminder of the complexities of human migration and family histories:

Nakba Day has come and gone, but the controversy lives on in New York City of all places.

Mayor Zohran Mamdani posted to social media a story about the Nakba, which is how Arabs describe the “catastrophe” of Israel’s creation (under the UN) and the fallout for displaced Palestinians. His office produced a four-minute profile of Inea Bushnaq, a Palestinian American “Nakba survivor” living in New York.

Controversy erupted over the mayor platforming Bushnaq as the embodiment of the Palestinian diaspora, because it turns out her family roots were first Bosnian (of which Bushnaq is a transliteration). Invoking the vernacular of today, critics described her family as “European settler-colonizers” in the Holy Land….

Canada’s top-skilled workers are leaving for the U.S. in droves for lower taxes and higher pay: TD study

More evidence of Canada being a “farm team:

A new report from TD Economics warns that Canada is losing its highest-skilled workers, entrepreneurs, and STEM graduates to the United States through a slow, largely invisible syphoning—calling the phenomenon a “silent brain drain.” The crisis, it argues, is less about who Canada can attract than who it fails to keep.

Much of the outflow never registers in Statistics Canada’s emigration data because it occurs through U.S. employer-sponsored work visas—temporary and semi-permanent pathways that conventional brain drain metrics simply don’t capture. Of the partial data Statistics Canada was able to retrieve, the agency determined that, in 2023, 18,590 Canadian residents emigrated to the U.S. permanently, with 30 percent of those people not being born in Canada.

Despite net migration to the U.S. lowering in recent years, the trend of top talent—which helps drive GDP growth—leaving Canada has not.

“Canada is not hollowing out; it is spilling out at the top,” the TD report states. “Absent progress on this front, Canada will continue to be a feeder system for the U.S. innovation economy.”…

Immigration lawyers say automation is partly driving a massive Federal Court backlog

Wonder how many immigration lawyers themselves are using AI. Given the large numbers of permanent and temporary residents, even reduced, AI has to be part of any immigration program management, and as Kahneman and others have noted, automated systems generate more consistent results than humans and arguably, if well designed, better and fairer decisions:

The number of immigration cases being brought to Federal Court has more than quadrupled since 2020 — and some immigration lawyers are linking the surge in part to the federal government’s use of artificial intelligence and automation to clear visa application backlogs.

Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada insists that technology is not to blame and that multiple factors are driving the boom in legal challenges of the department’s decisions.

About 6,400 immigration cases were brought to Federal Court in 2020, a figure in line with the trend over the previous decade. The caseload spiked sharply in 2021, when 9,700 cases were sent to the court.

More than 28,000 cases were filed with the court last year and more than 6,600 were filed in the first quarter of 2026. The vast majority of these cases are not refugee matters….

Douglas Todd: The Century Initiative changes its headline-grabbing tune on hiking Canadian migration

As someone who has following CI over the years, as well as one of the early critics, I was pleased to participate in this study given that it reflects their having now adopted a more realistic and nuanced position:

…No longer, Meggs said, is the organization emphasizing its headline-grabbing “100-million-by-2100” target. Nor, she said, is it declaring that “Canada is shrinking in population and in the world,” or that “our workforce is shrinking.” It’s also dropped “economic growth is tied to population growth” and “population growth is tied to our quality of life.”

Meggs said the Century Initiative is shifting to more nuanced expressions about the pros of migration. They include that it is necessary to “strengthen our workforce and build talent pipelines” and, finally, that there is a place for “smart, responsible population growth.”

As Canadians become more educated about migration issues, it’s a welcome sign that this influential organization is realizing it needs to tone down its lopsided, simplistic rhetoric.

Éditorial | Un oui inclusif, et ça devient possible

Yes, as in the PQ of the 1970s:

,…Un projet de pays qui s’appuie sur d’aussi piètres bases n’a aucune chance de succès. Le Québec de 2026 n’a plus rien à voir avec la nation colonisée dont M. St-Pierre Plamondon évoque occasionnellement le souvenir. En table éditoriale avec Le Devoir, l’an dernier, il nous avait même confié à quel point il craignait la peur dans le prochain cycle politique. La peur que nous avons intériorisée comme nation et qui remonte à la pendaison des patriotes, disait-il. C’est comme si le miracle de la Révolution tranquille n’avait pas eu lieu. C’est comme si les chaînes de l’oppression n’avaient pas été brisées par la formidable machine à intégrer et à franciser que fut la Loi 101. C’est comme s’il fallait encore des porteurs d’eau, dans l’imaginaire péquiste, pour conjurer le destin et se dire « Oui ! » par un Grand soir.

Il y a encore mille et une raisons de militer pour la souveraineté, serait-ce seulement parce que langue, culture, institutions distinctes et occupation du territoire sur le long temps de l’histoire ont produit une nation unique, singulière, capable d’assumer son destin et d’accéder au statut de pays si une majorité de ses concitoyens le désirent ardemment. Cette nation forte reste aussi fragile en sa qualité de principale héritière du fait français en Amérique du Nord, minoritaire sur un continent de locuteurs anglophones. Elle ne se sentira jamais protégée par un gouvernemental fédéral centralisateur, verrouillé dans le multiculturalisme à la Trudeau père, qui renvoie la nation québécoise au rang du folklore.

Par contre, un Québec qui aspire à la souveraineté devrait additionner les voix au lieu de les soustraire. Il devrait tendre la main, investir avec conviction dans la francisation et la culture, se vouer corps et âme à l’interculturalisme dont il se prétend le champion. Au contraire, le discours ambiant, aussi bien sous l’ex-gouvernement de François Legault que dans l’imaginaire de Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, entretient un malheureux clivage.

Selon Statistique Canada, les Québécois issus de l’immigration représentent désormais près de 15 % de la population (1,21 million de personnes). Dans la région de Montréal, une personne sur quatre est issue de l’immigration. Le Québec tout entier est en profonde mutation sociodémographique, passant d’une société homogène à une société diversifiée. C’est un changement structurel irréversible qui pose des enjeux d’intégration, de cohésion et d’adaptation des institutions démocratiques. C’est aussi une formidable occasion d’élargir la passion et le sentiment d’appartenance pour le Québec, sa langue, sa culture, dans le respect des droits des minorités et des peuples autochtones.

« Nous avons remplacé la fierté par la fermeture », souligne le rapport du OUI Québec. Les formations politiques qui ne l’ont pas encore compris vivent sur du temps emprunté, et elles fragilisent le projet de pays qu’elles aspirent à bâtir avec noblesse.”

IRCC

IRCC gave up office space in January. Now, it can’t accommodate RTO-4

Sigh…

A few months before delaying its four-day return-to-office due to lack of space, the federal immigration department gave up 12 floors of real estate across two downtown Ottawa office buildings.

According to an August 2025 slideshow obtained by the Ottawa Citizen through the Access to Information Act, the department was required to return the floors to the government’s central property manager to meet its obligations under a federal plan to cut back on office space.

In support of the plan, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) chose to release 10.5 floors at 300 Slater Street and 1.5 floors at 180 Kent Street back to Public Services and Procurement Canada (PSPC).

IRCC confirmed it completed the full release by the end of January.

But a few months later, the department had to delay the start of the government-wide four-day return-to-office mandate for most public servants because it didn’t have enough space to fit them.

The documents provide a glimpse into the internal gymnastics happening behind the scenes as federal departments attempt to bring workers back into the office more often, after trying for years to cut back on space.