Tasha Kheiriddin: Bill C-12 will not solve Canada’s immigration problems

More commentary:

…When a system breaks down, so does public confidence. It’s no accident that most Canadians now say there is too much immigration, want to restrict access to social programs for newcomers, and want newcomers to pay for their own healthcare.

C-12 does address some of these concerns, requiring copays on some health costs, but it isn’t enough. Rempel-Garner points out that there are still 3 million people whose visas will expire this year, with no plan to remove them from the country. Some of these people will no doubt claim asylum before their year is up, buying time while the overburdened system adjudicates their cases, at the expense of both taxpayers and legitimate refugees now stuck in the back of an endless queue.

No one blames foreigners who want to stay in Canada. People will do whatever the system allows them to do, to make a better life for themselves: it’s human nature. But if you allow the system to break down, you end up failing everybody, newcomers and Canadian citizens alike. This is not compassionate or humanitarian — it is an irresponsible recipe for social unrest.

Source: Tasha Kheiriddin: Bill C-12 will not solve Canada’s immigration problems

Immigration officers don’t have latitude to probe refugee claims, experts say

Sigh…:

…But immigration lawyer Richard Kurland said current rules prevent those officers from probing the truth of asylum seekers’ stories.

“A person can show up at the border, give a written story prepared with AI, and the officer is instructed to not ask questions that will verify the credibility of the story. Even if officers want to question, and ask permission to so do, they can’t,” Mr. Kurland wrote in an e-mail. 

Internal documents Mr. Kurland obtained from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada under access to information law, which were reviewed by The Globe and Mail, show that immigration officers have been instructed not to block people’s access to the IRB only because they doubt their stories.

The documents include an e-mail sent in October of last year from an immigration official to a senior IRCC colleague asking, in response to questions from another officer, “if we believe the client is not being truthful, can we withhold our eligibility decision until they provide a reasonable story?”

The senior IRCC official, Gianfranco Bonofiglio, responded: “Our role is not to verify the credibility of their story/entry. The IRB (and R&I) will assess that. The declaration/interview we hold is just collecting facts/information.” …

James Yousif, a former IRCC policy director and IRB adjudicator, said such interviews alone are not sufficient.

“The questions asked by IRCC or CBSA officials before the file is referred to the IRB are intended to establish eligibility,” he said. “For example, if a person already has refugee status in another country, they may be ineligible to make a claim in Canada,” he said. 

“Fraud and national security issues often do not emerge until the claimant is questioned. If that happens, the IRB is required by law to halt the hearing and notify the relevant Minister.”…

Source: Immigration officers don’t have latitude to probe refugee claims, experts say

AI being used to add fake details in immigration, asylum applications, federal officials say

Unfortunate but not surprising:

Artificial intelligence is being used to bolster immigration and asylum cases in Canada by generating fake narratives, including references to fabricated court decisions.

Both the federal department, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC), and the Immigration and Refugee Board (IRB), an independent tribunal that rules on asylum applications, say they have detected the use of AI in applications containing fake or inaccurate information.

The IRB said that the use of AI in applications to stay in Canada as a refugee is creating a fresh challenge for its employees. 

“Recently, we have observed that memoranda of appeal are becoming lengthier, yet this increase in volume does not necessarily translate to stronger arguments. In fact, occasionally these documents include references to case law that do not exist or cite legal precedents for propositions they do not actually support,” the IRB in a statement. “This adds unnecessary complexity and time to our work.”…

Source: AI being used to add fake details in immigration, asylum applications, federal officials say

StatsCan: Job mismatch among core working age immigrants with postsecondary education

Another informative study:

…Recent immigrants more likely than established immigrants and persons born in Canada to experience job mismatch

In September 2024 and September 2025, among core-aged workers with a postsecondary diploma or degree, immigrants (25.2%) were more likely to report being overqualified for their job overall compared with persons born in Canada (19.1%).

The longer an immigrant had lived in Canada after becoming a permanent resident, the less likely they were to report being overqualified, and recent immigrants were most likely to indicate being overqualified for their job (32.6%). Among established immigrants—persons who had become permanent residents more than 10 years earlier—this proportion was 22.4%, much closer to the share observed among persons born in Canada (19.1%).

Across almost all measures, recent immigrants had higher rates of job mismatch than both established immigrants and persons born in Canada. The only exception was the proportion of workers who reported having more skills than needed in their jobs, which was fairly similar among those born in Canada (29.1%), recent immigrants (30.7%) and established immigrants (28.7%).

The pattern of decreasing levels of job mismatch as landed immigrants spend more time in Canada aligns with previous research showing that the labour market outcomes of immigrants tend to improve as they integrate the Canadian labour market over time or pursue additional studies in Canada.Note 8

LFS data show that the share of workers with a postsecondary diploma or degree working in a job requiring a high school diploma or less has been higher among recent immigrants compared with persons born in Canada and established immigrants since the beginning of the data series in 2006. This pattern persisted in September 2024 and 2025, but it should be noted that the share of recent immigrants who faced this type of job mismatch was at its lowest level from 2020 to 2025,Note 9 coinciding in part with the tight labour market conditions of the post-COVID recovery. For more information on the recent labour market experiences of immigrants see: Labour market experiences of recent working-age immigrants and non-permanent residents, 2019 to 2024

Source: Job mismatch among core working age immigrants with postsecondary education

Why foreign recruits won’t solve Canada’s military staffing problems

Yet another ill-advised boutique program as Banerjee notes:

…Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada in February announced said it is expanding its Express Entry immigration program, adding three new permanent residency streams that cover professions the Liberal government says are needed to fill critical labour gaps, including “highly skilled foreign military applicants” recruited by the Canadian Armed Forces in roles such as military doctors, pilots and nurses.

Ottawa did not specify how many permanent residents it aims to recruit under the new immigration stream. 

The expansion will effectively move applicants in these professions to the front of the line for permanent residency.

The changes essentially placed a few select professions with Canadian work experience at the head of the queue for permanent residency via Express Entry, a stream of economic migrants introduced designed to get immigrants into jobs faster without long delays. 

Immigration Minister Lena Metlege Diab said the decision to have a new category for skilled foreign military applicants “supports Canada’s defence industrial strategy,” and aims to “strengthen our armed forces, defend our sovereignty and to keep Canadians safe.”…

Canada’s shift toward a category-based “boutique” immigration system that prioritizes certain professions over other immigrants is concerning, said Rupa Banerjee, an associate professor at Toronto Metropolitan University and Canada Research Chair in economic inclusion, employment and entrepreneurship of immigrants.

Labour market needs can shift quickly, and it’s difficult to accurately predict which jobs are in demand now and how that may change in the future, she said.

Banerjee pointed to the 1990s dot-com boom which saw Canada actively recruit IT and computer science professionals, anticipating massive demand. Following the subsequent tech bubble burst, many of these skilled immigrants faced unemployment, highlighting the volatility of relying on specific, fast-changing industries for economic growth and immigration planning.

“We’ve seen that labour market needs change before we are able to respond … and there’s always this lag,” Banerjee said. “It’s very short-sighted.”

Source: Why foreign recruits won’t solve Canada’s military staffing problems

Fraser: Trading rights for efficiency: Why Bill C‑12’s restrictive asylum measures will likely backfire

Interesting analysis:

…The rhetoric then was nearly identical to the rhetoric today: procedural restrictions would filter out “unfounded” claims made by applicants from “safe” countries and speed up the system.

Human rights concerns aside, did these deterrence policies meet their stated goal of making the system more efficient? 

My SSHRC-funded study of 178,873 asylum claims filed between 2006 and 2017 — one of the largest independent analyses of the Canadian asylum system to date — reveals they did not

As an expert witness cited in the Social Affairs, Science and Technology (SOCI) committee report on Bill C-12, I briefed the Senate on my study.

My research was based on a statistical analysis of asylum claims filed before and after the DCO policy came into effect (2006 to 2017) and interviews with immigration lawyers and adjudicators at the Immigration and Refugee Board (IRB) of Canada’s Refugee Protection Division. To date, mine is one of the few academic studies examining what makes Canada’s immigration procedures more or less efficient. 

The Harper government rightly identified withdrawn and abandoned asylum claims as a key source of inefficiency. In my analysis, I found that these types of unfinished claims significantly contribute to application backlogs:…

Source: Trading rights for efficiency: Why Bill C‑12’s restrictive asylum measures will likely backfire

As H-1B Visa Program Changes, Skilled Foreign Workers Consider Leaving U.S.

Of note:

The pathway to building a career in the United States for many highly educated and skilled foreign workers was once clear: Earn a degree from an American university or college, and then be recruited by a company willing to sponsor one of the 85,000 H-1B visas awarded annually to fill specialized roles and grant work status for up to six years.

Now that reliable route is shifting as the Trump administration has made fundamental changes to the way the visas are granted.

The New York Times spoke to three international workers caught in the middle: an Indian woman who, after receiving her master’s degree in biotechnology from Northwestern University, struggled to find a company that would sponsor her for temporary employment; a Chinese-Mongolian marketing analyst in New York who was laid off and is now hustling to find an employer to sponsor her visa; and a Taiwanese software engineer in Seattle who dealt with anxiety because of shifting immigration policies amid widespread tech layoffs.

The H-1B program allows U.S. companies in major industries like technology and medicine to submit visa applications for foreign candidates, who are then entered into a lottery system. Though the visa program has been around since 1990, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services began using a random selection process in 2013 to handle the surplus of applications. Since then, demand has continued to soar.

Last September, the Trump administration imposed a $100,000 feeon new H-1B applicants, stirring confusion around the program. Then in late February, another hurdle was introduced: The Department of Homeland Security turned this game of chance into one that prioritizes higher salaries.

Now, if there are more H-1B applicants than spots available, U.S.C.I.S. will conduct a weighted lottery system based on new criteria: wage levels that are calculated with government employment and wage data, which include factors like job title and location. This new process gives applications tied to higher wages an advantage in the lottery system.

The D.H.S. says the new rule is meant to better protect job opportunities for Americans and to deter companies from filing H-1B petitions for low-skilled, low-paid positions, a practice the Trump administration says has led to the abuse of the program.

“There’s definitely a panic level that we hadn’t seen in the past with clients,” said Matthew Maiona, a Boston-based immigration lawyer who has over 30 years of experience representing both employers and employees in sectors like I.T. and engineering.

“H-1Bs are not a cheap way of doing things,” he said. “You have to pay all the filing fees and legal fees, and you’re also paying a prevailing wage that’s set by the Department of Labor.”…

Source: As H-1B Visa Program Changes, Skilled Foreign Workers Consider Leaving U.S.

NDP Leader Avi Lewis Wants to Reverse Carney’s Immigration Cuts

Will be interesting to see how this plays out given current public opinion given the excessive numbers of the Liberal government (now being reversed) but there is a “more the merrier” crowd of settlement organizations, education institutions, academics and some in the business community:

…“We are calling very clearly for a single-tier immigration system, based on permanent residency and status on arrival, that gives rights and stability—like our grandparents received when they first came to this country. We need an immigration system that reunites families, welcomes refugees fleeing wars around the world, and does not create two classes of workers.

We will reverse Prime Minister Mark Carney’s cuts to immigration levels. Through Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, we will hire 3,000 immigrant caseworkers immediately to address the backlog of 1 million immigrant applications that are stuck and going nowhere.

We will end provincial rules that restrict and tie foreign workers to specific employers. We will end limits based on sector, hours, occupation, or category—restrictions that make workers vulnerable. We believe we should create a network of reception centres for refugees across the country, with real funding for shelters and housing. We also need to fix credentialling problems. Many people come to Canada because of their skills, but credentialling issues prevent them from using the skills they brought with them.”

Source: NDP Leader Avi Lewis Wants to Reverse Carney’s Immigration Cuts

Closed for business: The unravelling of Canada’s Start-Up Visa program: Nino Melikidze and Steven J. Paolasini

Good account of the troubled history of this program (I am generally sceptical of business immigration programs as governments rarely get them right):

…One of the most troubling aspects of the Start-Up Visa program is how long mismanagement was allowed without meaningful consequences. Over time, credible allegations surfaced that some designated organizations facilitated questionable investment arrangements, sold incubator placements, or approved start-up commitments with little genuine validation. Yet rarely, if ever, were organizations removed from the designated list or suspended until it was far too late to prevent the program’s collapse.

To restore credibility to Canada’s entrepreneur immigration system, the government must conduct a full investigation into the financial transactions and agreements executed under the SUV framework. The investigation should focus on the 10 designated organizations that were responsible for the majority of total program intake.

The goal of the audit would be to understand how the government permitted a small fraction of the organizations to monopolize such a massive share of the national inventory. Where mismanagement occurred, it should not simply be treated as a policy failure.”

Source: Closed for business: The unravelling of Canada’s Start-Up Visa program: Nino Melikidze and Steven J. Paolasini

A major immigration reform bill is now law in Canada. Some worry it rolls back refugee rights

No surprise that it is likely to be challenged and we will see how the courts rule, whether purely theoretically or with some practical understanding:

A major bill reforming immigration powers is now law in Canada, giving Ottawa powers to mass cancel groups of visas and setting  time limits on asylum claims in the name of bringing immigration numbers under control.

But the legislation,  passed Thursday,  has also raised concerns from a coalition of civil society groups, including Amnesty International, immigration lawyers and public sector unions, that says it places too much authority in the government’s hands and is vowing to fight it. 

“Bill C-12 attacks the rights of refugees and migrants,” Julia Sande, a lawyer specializing in privacy and migrant rights at Amnesty International Canada, said in an interview with CBC News. “It makes it harder for people to have their claims for refugee protection fairly assessed, so it puts people at risk of being deported to face persecution and torture.”

She said the mass-cancellation powers, “without any sort of individualized assessment,” amount to shirking Canada’s international legal obligations. 

Adam Sadinsky, vice-president of the Canadian Association of Refugee Lawyers, called C-12 “the most significant rollback of refugee rights in more than a decade.”

He said he has no doubt the legislation “will ultimately end up before the courts to make a decision on its constitutionality,” and said he believes refugee and immigration lawyers across Canada are advising their clients and mulling whether they have cases that would form “the basis of a challenge.”

Sadinsky and Sande’s groups are part of the broader coalition, which includes the Canadian Council for Refugees, the Canadian Muslim Public Affairs Council and public sector unions like the Canadian Union of Public Employees.

‘A dangerous path’

In a statement, the coalition warned the bill sets “current and future governments on a dangerous path by limiting the ability to seek refugee protection in Canada, […] and facilitating the sharing of personal information within and outside the country.”

The law will cancel out thousands of refugee claims, as it also retroactively bars those who came to Canada more than a year prior from filing claims with the Immigration and Refugee Board. 

Retroactive to June 24, 2020, and applying to claims made on or after June 3, 2025, the legislation would see some 19,000 applications dismissed, according to testimony by Immigration Minister Lena Diab to a Canadian Senate committee.

As for its necessity to acquire mass-cancellation powers, the government has cited hypothetical events out of its control such as wars or pandemics. It has also spoken about possible fraud in hypothetical scenarios.

However, based on internal IRCC documents, CBC News reported last fall that the department was concerned about “country-specific challenges” due to fraudulent visitor visa applications from India and Bangladesh. …

Source: A major immigration reform bill is now law in Canada. Some worry it rolls back refugee rights