‘Elbows up’: Canadian public opinion of the U.S. hits a new low after Donald Trump’s election

Not a surprise:

Canadian public sentiment towards the United States has plummeted to new depths, a new report suggests, revealing how decades of Canadian goodwill toward its southern neighbour have reversed mere months after President Donald Trump took office.

The survey, conducted by the Environics Institute for Survey Research, also found the vast majority of respondents were strongly opposed to Canada becoming the 51st state.

“It’s really the worst collective opinions of the U.S. that we have recorded” in the more than 40 years the institute has been keeping track, said Keith Neuman, a senior associate at the Environics Institute for Survey Research. “By more than a two-to-one margin, Canadians’ opinions are negative rather than positive.”

It’s the result of what some experts call a “visceral reaction” toward Trump’s tariffs and annexation threats.

“The unfavourable feelings are much stronger this time, and much more intense,” said Adam Chapnick, a Canadian foreign policy analyst and professor of defence studies at the Royal Military College of Canada.

“It’s being reflected in Canadians not travelling to the United States, not purchasing products that are made in the United States and becoming more serious about making hard decisions domestically to improve our productivity and competitiveness in the world.”

Canadian public perception of the U.S. hits new low 

The survey, conducted in mid-May, found 65 per cent of respondents held an “unfavourable” opinion of the U.S., while just  29 per cent had a “favourable” opinion.

That’s a dramatic shift from last fall, when public sentiment toward the U.S. was divided roughly 50-50.

The closest Canadians have come to a similar unfavourability rating was in 2020, during the tail end of Trump’s first administration. At the time, 63 per cent of Canadians felt unfavourable to the U.S.

“In Trump’s first term, it took several years for Canadian public opinion to deteriorate to the same point,” Neuman noted. “The impact on Canadian public opinion has been much quicker this time … there’s not only the history, but he’s been much more aggressive and assertive with policies much quicker this time around.”

A majority of Conservative voters — 57 per cent — still viewed the U.S. favourably, down six points from last fall. In contrast, more than 80 per cent of Liberal, Bloc Quebecois and NDP voters had an unfavourable opinion of the States.

Overall, 78 per cent of Canadians disapproved of Trump’s handling of the U.S. presidency, a figure that matched 2018. Trump was most popular among Conservative voters, 30 per cent of whom approved of his performance.

Canadians can still recover their positive relationship with the States “if we can turn things around in a reasonable period of time,” Chapnick said, referencing Trump’s tariffs and threats against Canadian sovereignty.

“I think that the long-term positive relationship is quite resilient,” he said. “Geography makes us more resilient. Family ties add to that. I think that, should things get back to some sort of new normal, there should be an ability for us to bounce back to a reasonable degree.”

Large majority of Canadians strongly against becoming the 51st state

Canadians have taken an “elbows up” response to Trump’s threats against Canadian sovereignty, Neuman said.

Eighty-three per cent of respondents said they “strongly disagree” that Canada and the U.S. should unite into one country, while just seven per cent said a merger should happen.

That’s a stronger sentiment than when the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA) — the precursor to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) — was negotiated in 1986, stoking fears of an economic and cultural merger between the two nations. Back then, just 63 per cent of Canadians were strongly against Canada and the U.S. uniting.

Shortly after the CUSFTA was implemented in the late-1980s, an Environics poll found 30 per cent of Canadians felt it was “very likely” that Canada will remain independent from the U.S. over the next decade. Today, that figure has jumped to 70 per cent.

“That, in some ways, is maybe the most surprising or notable finding,” Neuman said. “It’s not evident that we should be seeing that strong a level of confidence right now, given the uncertainty with tariffs and the uncertainty about Trump … We have not been threatened as a country like this since before we became a country.”

But Chapnick wasn’t surprised, noting that Canadians grew more confident in their nation’s sovereignty after worries of annexation during CUSFTA negotiations didn’t come to pass….

Source: ‘Elbows up’: Canadian public opinion of the U.S. hits a new low after Donald Trump’s election

Canada Introduces New Citizenship Reform With Bill C-3, Opening Doors For Global Travel And Family Connections

The reality check on Bill C-3, how the unlimited time period to claim Canadian citizenship by the second generation and beyond without the same five-year period as Permanent Residents is being perceived by organizations and potential beneficiaries:

Canada has introduced Bill C-3, a groundbreaking piece of legislation that seeks to overhaul the country’s citizenship laws, making it easier for global families to claim Canadian citizenship and access travel benefits. This new law expands citizenship by descent beyond the first generation, allowing individuals born abroad to Canadian citizens to inherit citizenship, provided their Canadian parent has maintained a strong connection to the country. The reform comes in response to the outdated 2009 rule that limited citizenship for second-generation Canadians born outside Canada, ensuring a more inclusive approach for families with Canadian roots worldwide. By offering a broader definition of Canadian identity, Bill C-3 aims to enhance both the nation’s diversity and global connectivity, providing more opportunities for travel and connection with Canada.

Canada is set to make a profound change to its citizenship laws through the introduction of Bill C-3, a new piece of legislation designed to significantly expand citizenship by descent. This bill aims to extend Canadian citizenship eligibility to individuals born abroad, beyond the first generation, allowing more people with Canadian heritage to reclaim their citizenship.

A New Path to Reconnect with Canadian Roots

Are you looking to reconnect with your Canadian heritage? Thanks to recent legislative advancements, Bill C-3 offers a golden opportunity for families across the globe to reconnect with their Canadian roots. This bill holds the potential to redefine what it means to be Canadian, making citizenship more accessible for individuals worldwide, especially those born to Canadian parents outside the country.

A Major Shift in Citizenship Rules

Bill C-3 marks a monumental shift in Canadian citizenship policy. The federal government’s new legislation aims to overhaul the existing rules, which have long been criticized for limiting citizenship by descent to only the first generation born abroad. Introduced in 2009, the previous policy prevented many Canadians who were born overseas from passing their citizenship to their children if those children were also born outside of Canada. This limited approach excluded many individuals with strong Canadian ties, an issue that the new bill seeks to address by broadening the scope of who can claim Canadian citizenship.

The Need for Change: Why Now?

For years, Canada has maintained strict limitations on citizenship by descent. Under the 2009 legislation, children born abroad to Canadian citizens were only eligible for citizenship if their parent was born in Canada or if the parent was a first-generation Canadian citizen. This limitation meant that second-generation Canadians born outside the country were excluded from claiming Canadian citizenship, even though they had deep familial ties to the nation.

The outdated policy was seen as unjust, leaving many individuals—who identify strongly with Canada and its values—unable to claim citizenship. Acknowledging the flaws of this system, the Canadian government has decided to make citizenship by descent more inclusive and accessible, opening the door to a new generation of Canadians.

What is Citizenship by Descent?

Citizenship by descent refers to the practice of granting nationality to children born outside the country if one of their parents is a citizen. In Canada, this system has traditionally been limited to the first generation born abroad. The law excluded second-generation Canadians unless they were born or adopted within Canada’s borders. As a result, many children of Canadian citizens born overseas found themselves without Canadian citizenship, despite their parent’s national ties.

The Key Changes Introduced by Bill C-3

If passed, Bill C-3 would fundamentally alter the citizenship landscape by expanding eligibility. The key provisions of the bill include:

  1. Restoration of Citizenship: Individuals who would have been Canadian citizens had it not been for the first-generation limit will automatically regain their citizenship under the new rules.
  2. Expanded Citizenship by Descent: The new legislation would permit the children of Canadian parents—born abroad to be eligible for citizenship, as long as their Canadian parent has lived in Canada for at least 1,095 cumulative days (approximately three years) prior to the child’s birth or adoption. This change reflects the importance of maintaining a strong connection to Canada while also acknowledging the global nature of Canadian families.

These changes offer an inclusive and practical approach to citizenship, ensuring that the bond between Canadians and their descendants is not lost due to arbitrary geographic boundaries.

Who Will Benefit from Bill C-3?

The passage of Bill C-3 is expected to benefit a large group of individuals, particularly those who:

  • Were born abroad to Canadian citizens who themselves were born outside of Canada.
  • Were adopted outside of Canada by Canadian parents.
  • Were affected by previous provisions of the Citizenship Act, such as section 8, which stripped citizenship from some individuals once they reached the age of 28.
  • Are part of the “Lost Canadians,” individuals who were denied citizenship due to outdated legal frameworks.

Since the 2009 and 2015 reforms, approximately 20,000 individuals have regained or gained Canadian citizenship. Bill C-3 seeks to build on this progress by restoring citizenship to those affected by the previous law, extending a helping hand to even more people with Canadian roots.

A Court Ruling Accelerates the Reform Process

The call for change was given a significant boost following a ruling by the Ontario Superior Court of Justice in December 2023. The court determined that the first-generation rule was unconstitutional, as it unfairly discriminated against children born abroad to Canadian citizens. The ruling underscored the need for legislative reform, and instead of appealing the decision, the Canadian government acknowledged its flaws and pledged to address them through the introduction of Bill C-3.

This ruling confirmed the government’s commitment to upholding fairness and ensuring that Canadian citizenship is available to those who are entitled to it, regardless of where they were born.

What Happens Next?

Bill C-3 must now undergo the legislative process before it becomes law. The bill must be passed by both Houses of Parliament and receive Royal Assent before it can be enacted. If the bill is approved, the Canadian government has pledged to swiftly implement the changes and provide clear guidelines on eligibility through the Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) website.

This means that eligible individuals could soon be able to reconnect with their Canadian identity, allowing them to enjoy the rights, privileges, and opportunities that come with Canadian citizenship.

Final Thoughts: A More Inclusive Canada

Bill C-3 represents an important step forward in making Canadian citizenship more accessible and inclusive. By extending citizenship by descent to second-generation Canadians born abroad, Canada is acknowledging the increasingly global nature of families and communities. It emphasizes that Canadian identity is not confined to geography, but is shaped by shared values of diversity, inclusivity, and belonging.

Canada introduces Bill C-3 to extend citizenship by descent beyond the first generation, enabling more global families to claim Canadian nationality. This reform reflects Canada’s commitment to inclusivity and recognizes the growing international ties of Canadian families.

As this legislation progresses through Parliament, it holds the potential to strengthen the connection between Canada and its global diaspora, ensuring that more individuals with Canadian heritage are able to claim their rightful place in the country’s future. Whether for personal or professional reasons, this legislation could be a game-changer for many seeking to establish or reconnect with their Canadian roots.

Source: Canada Introduces New Citizenship Reform With Bill C-3, Opening Doors For Global Travel And Family Connections

Also, Canada’s new bill to grant citizenship to thousands of people 

A proposed bill in Canada could open the path to citizenship for thousands, potentially impacting Indian-origin residents and skilled workers. Immigration Minister Lena Diab tabled legislation Thursday to restore citizenship to the “lost Canadians” after a court found the existing law unconstitutional.

The term refers to people who were born outside of the country to Canadian parents who were also born in another country. In 2009, the federal Conservative government of the day changed the law so that Canadians who were born abroad could not pass down their citizenship if their child was born outside of Canada.

That law was deemed unconstitutional by the Ontario Superior Court in December 2023 and the Liberal government did not challenge the ruling. The government received its fourth deadline extension to pass legislation to address the issue in April.

It applied for a one-year extension, but Justice Jasmine Akbarali set a Nov. 20 deadline, saying that should be enough time for the government to implement “remedial legislation” if it makes it a “priority.”

Akbarali has criticized the government’s handling of the legislation in her decisions to grant extensions, citing the harm that could follow if the Stephen Harper-era law were to be declared invalid without replacement legislation.

Children born in Canada automatically receive Canadian citizenship at birth, regardless of the nationality of their parents, subject to some exceptions, such as children of foreign diplomats. 

Children of second-generation Canadian citizens who meet the substantial connection to Canada test need not wait for the legislation to pass; they can already apply for discretionary grants of Canadian citizenship under the existing interim measures.

Critic calls out border bill’s proposed new cabinet powers on immigration

As expected. Suspect that the over-reach of the Bill with respect to civil liberties will over shadow concerns of immigration and refugee advocates:

An NDP critic says a provision in the federal government’s border security bill that would give cabinet the power to cancel immigration documents looks like an attempt to “mimic” measures deployed by the Trump administration in the U.S.

“It seems to me … this piece of legislation is Canada’s attempt to mimic some of those measures that the United States is adopting. I actually never thought that this day would come where Canada would go down that road,” B.C. NDP MP Jenny Kwan told The Canadian Press.

“However, it is here, and meanwhile the government is saying, ‘Don’t worry, trust us.’”

Public Safety Minister Gary Anandasangaree said that the immigration minister would only be able to exercise the power to cancel, suspend or alter immigration documents in an “emergency” and after being granted the authority through an order-in-council.

“The tools are in place to ensure the minister of immigration has additional tools to ensure that in a modern era, for example, whether it’s a pandemic or issues around cybersecurity, she will have the tools to make those decisions,” Anandasangaree said during debate on the bill Thursday.

Conservative immigration critic Michelle Rempel Garner said the legislation contains several “poison pills” that threaten people’s civil liberties. 

This includes the ability for Canadian Security Intelligence Service and police to access customer information from online service providers in certain circumstances.

“The government has not shown Canadians any specific situation, any specific evidence or circumstance in granular detail about why we should be giving up our civil liberties to a government that unlawfully used the Emergencies Act,” Rempel Garner said during Thursday’s debate.

This is in reference to to a 2024 Federal Court ruling that found the government’s use of the Emergencies Act was unreasonable to breakup the 2022 “Freedom Convoy” protests against COVID-19 public health measures.

The government has appealed this ruling. 

Bloc Québécois MP Claude DeBellefeuille said that her party plans to support the bill at second reading so it can be studied by the public safety committee.

Speaking in French, she said the bill needs to be examined closely because it looks to give new powers to government ministers, law enforcement and even Canada Post.

Immigration Minister Lena Diab said Wednesday the legislation is designed to address “one-off” situations like a pandemic or some other “exceptional circumstance.”

“I think people, Canadians should feel safe that we are putting in all these safeguards, but again, as I said, it’s all part of protecting our country and protecting our system that we value and protecting people that come here because we want to ensure that they are successful as well,” Diab said.

Bill C-2 also proposes giving the immigration minister the power to pause the acceptance of new immigration applications and cancel or pause processing of the current inventory of applications in the event of an emergency.

Julia Sande, a human rights lawyer with Amnesty International Canada, said immigration applicants could lose a lot of money because the legislation doesn’t oblige the government to refund affected people.

“People give up their entire lives, in some cases, their life savings or their family’s life savings. People go into debt just to be able to come here,” she said. “And so to have the government be able to pull the rug out from under wide groups of people is concerning.”

Kwan said the proposed new powers are problematic because cabinet decisions are made in secret and there’s no firm definition of an “emergency” in the legislation.

“I don’t accept that the Liberals say, ‘Don’t worry, we’re the good guys, so trust us.’ I’m sorry, that is just not acceptable,” she said, adding there’s no way to know what a future government might do with this power.

The text of the legislation says that if the minister “is of the opinion that it is in the public interest to do so,” they may trigger the power to cancel, suspend or alter immigration documents through a cabinet order.

“They’re saying in an emergency, but that’s not what’s written. They said if they’re in the opinion that it’s in the public interest … that could really be anything,” Sande said.

“In the fall, we saw migrants and refugees being scapegoated for the housing crisis. And so, you know, what’s in the public interest?”

Last year, then-immigration minister Marc Miller said plans to reduce the number of permanent and temporary visas issued would help stabilize the housing market.

U.S. President Donald Trump has used national security as justification for a host of immigration measures that involve detaining and deporting people, including university students who have condemned the war in Gaza.

Sande said the proposed bill “attacks” the right to seek asylum by making it harder for migrants to make a claim if they are entering Canada from the U.S., or have been in the country for more than a year.

“They’re talking about fentanyl, they’re talking about guns and then all of a sudden they’re attacking the right to asylum,” Sande said.

“They are completely different things and it’s difficult for civil society, for experts to respond when there’s so many things going on.”

Source: Critic calls out border bill’s proposed new cabinet powers on immigration

Bill C-3: An Act to amend the Citizenship Act (2025), same as previous C-71

Appears unchanged from the former C-71, with the same failings. See my earlier Bill C-71 opens up a possible never-ending chain of citizenship:

Canada’s Citizenship Act contains a first-generation limit to citizenship by descent for individuals born abroad, which generally means that a Canadian citizen parent can only pass on citizenship to a child born outside Canada if the parent was either born or naturalized in Canada before the birth of the child. Canadians born or naturalized in Canada before adopting a child abroad can apply for a direct grant of citizenship for the adopted child.

As a result of the first-generation limit, in general, Canadian citizens who were born outside Canada and obtained their citizenship through descent cannot pass on citizenship to their child born outside Canada, and cannot apply for a direct grant of citizenship for a child adopted outside Canada.

On December 19, 2023, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice declared that key provisions of the first-generation limit for those born abroad are unconstitutional. The Government of Canada did not appeal the ruling because we agree that the current law has unacceptable consequences for Canadians whose children were born outside the country.

The government is introducing legislation to make the citizenship process as fair and transparent as possible. Bill C-3 would 

  • automatically remedy the status of any person who would be a citizen today were it not for the first-generation limit or certain outdated provisions of former citizenship legislation
  • establish a new framework for citizenship by descent going forward that would allow for access to citizenship beyond the first generation based on a Canadian parent’s substantial connection to Canada

An interim measure will continue to be available for those affected by the first-generation limit while both Houses of Parliament consider amendments to the Citizenship Act. More information about the interim measure is available on IRCC’s web site.

Substantial connection test

Bill C-3 would allow a Canadian parent born abroad who has a substantial connection to Canada to pass on citizenship to their child born abroad beyond the first generation. It would also provide them with access to the direct grant of citizenship for their child adopted abroad beyond the first generation.

To demonstrate a substantial connection to Canada, a Canadian parent who was born abroad would need to have a cumulative 1,095 days (i.e., three years) of physical presence in Canada before the birth or adoption of the child.

Lost Canadians

The term “Lost Canadians” has generally been used to describe those who lost or never acquired citizenship due to certain outdated provisions of former citizenship legislation.

Most cases were remedied by changes to the law in 2009 and 2015. These changes allowed people to gain Canadian citizenship or get back the citizenship they lost. Despite this, additional amendments are needed to include other categories of “Lost Canadians” and their descendants who did not benefit from the 2009 and 2015 changes.

Bill C-3 will restore citizenship to remaining “Lost Canadians,” their descendants and anyone who was born abroad to a Canadian parent in the second or subsequent generations before the legislation comes into force. This includes people who lost their citizenship as a result of requirements under the former section 8 of the Citizenship Act.

Source: Bill C-3: An Act to amend the Citizenship Act (2025)

Recording of Research Matters event: Exploring citizenship trends and immigrant engagement in Canada and Australia 

ICYMI: Good webinar on recent trends in citizenship by Fung Hou of StatsCan (decline in naturalization along with “citizens of convenience” evidence showing little difference between citizen immigrants and non-citizen immigrants who leave Canada) and a Canada-Australia comparison by Li Xu of IRCC.

Source: Recording of Research Matters event: Exploring citizenship trends and immigrant engagement in Canada and Australia

Québec peut-il priver les expatriés de leur droit de vote après deux ans d’exil ? 

Another case to watch. But Gelinas-Faucher is now back in Canada, working in New Brunswick, presumably eligible to vote in his province of residence. So implicitly, he is also arguing that other Canadians should be able to maintain their province of origin vote even when they have moved to another province.

I never supported unlimited voting rights for Canadian expats in any case as they would be largely not subject to Canadian laws nor paying Canadian income tax, and the former 5-year cut-off was reasonable. That being said, the actual number of Canadians living abroad who are interested in exercising this right is relatively small, about 120,000 in 2025, compared to an estimated 3 million expatriates. Actual votes cast numbers should be released shortly.

Nuts:

Le Québec a-t-il le droit de retirer à ses citoyens le droit de vote s’ils sont à l’extérieur de la province depuis plus de deux ans ?

Après trois ans d’attente, la Cour supérieure du Québec entendra finalement la semaine prochaine la demande en pourvoi judiciaire de l’avocat Bruno Gélinas-Faucher qui cherche à faire déclarer inconstitutionnel l’article 282 de la Loi électorale du Québec.

Cet article retire le droit de vote des citoyens québécois après deux ans d’exil de la province, sauf dans deux cas d’exception, soit les personnes qui travaillent pour le gouvernement du Québec ou du Canada à l’extérieur de la province et leurs conjoints ou celles qui œuvrent pour un organisme international financé par Ottawa ou Québec et leurs conjoints également.

Dans les faits, les personnes qui quittent le Québec peuvent voter par correspondance durant deux ans, mais par la suite, si elles veulent exercer ce droit, elles doivent revenir au Québec physiquement, un obstacle de taille, surtout pour les étudiants.

Inconstitutionnel au fédéral

En 2019, Bruno Gélinas-Faucher étudiait le droit international à l’université Cambridge, en Angleterre, et il s’y trouvait depuis plus de deux ans lorsqu’est survenue l’élection partielle dans Jean-Talon, en décembre 2019. Or, onze mois plus tôt, en janvier de la même année, l’arrêt Frank de la Cour suprême avait invalidé la provision de la loi canadienne qui, elle, retirait le droit de vote après plus de cinq ans à l’extérieur du pays. Il s’agissait, selon le plus haut tribunal, d’une atteinte inconstitutionnelle à l’article 3 de la Charte canadienne des droits qui stipule que « tout citoyen canadien a le droit de vote et est éligible aux élections législatives fédérales ou provinciales ».

« Au début de 2019, la Cour rend ce jugement-là, raconte Me Gélinas-Faucher. Je ne suis pas forcément un constitutionnaliste, mais je me tiens au courant des jugements de la Cour qui ont un impact sur moi. Et j’arrive pour voter aux élections provinciales au Québec et là, on me dit non, désolé, ça fait plus de deux ans que vous êtes à l’étranger. Et là, moi, je me dis, ben voyons donc, la Cour suprême vient de dire que cinq ans, c’était une limite inconstitutionnelle. Ça me semble tout à fait illogique et tout aussi inconstitutionnel. Mais je n’ai pas pu voter à l’élection partielle dans Jean-Talon qui était (la circonscription) où j’étais domicilié et c’est ce qui m’a amené à lancer ce recours-là. »

Incohérence et discrimination

Québec a décidé de contester ce recours et la cause sera entendue par le tribunal du 2 au 6 juin, à Montréal.

Au-delà de l’atteinte au droit de vote protégé par la Charte, Me Gélinas-Faucher avance l’argument de l’incohérence. « Le gouvernement du Québec a des programmes sociaux et des dispositions qui font en sorte qu’il garde un lien et qui démontre qu’il veut garder un lien, particulièrement avec ses étudiants », affirme-t-il.

Il fait valoir qu’alors qu’il était étudiant à Cambridge, il recevait des prêts étudiants du gouvernement du Québec et qu’il était toujours couvert par la Régie de l’assurance-maladie du Québec. « La RAMQ a une exception pour les étudiants qui sont à l’étranger dans le cadre de leurs études. Alors moi, je continuais d’être couvert par la RAMQ, je recevais un prêt du gouvernement du Québec dans le cas du programme d’aide financière aux études, mais je perdais mon droit de vote. Ça me semble tout à fait incohérent. Et c’est ce qu’on met de l’avant, là, pour montrer que ce n’est pas une limite raisonnable parce qu’elle est arbitraire et incohérente. »

Aussi, dit-il, le fait que les personnes travaillant hors Québec pour le gouvernement provincial ou fédéral ou pour un organisme international conservent, elles, le droit de voter par correspondance est ni plus ni moins que de la discrimination. « C’est aussi un argument qu’on fait valoir. Il n’y a aucune base pour différencier ces gens-là. Par exemple, si je prends la deuxième catégorie, des gens qui sont affectés pour une organisation internationale à laquelle le Canada contribue financièrement. Une personne qui travaille par exemple pour l’UNESCO en République centrafricaine pendant 20 ans n’a pas plus de lien avec le Québec qu’un étudiant qui est temporairement à l’étranger pour ses études, même si ça fait plus de deux ans. »

L’exemple de Terrebonne

Maintenant que la Cour supérieure se saisira finalement du dossier, l’avocat espère avoir gain de cause avant l’automne 2026, moment où doivent avoir lieu les prochaines élections provinciales au Québec. C’est que Me Gélinas-Faucher occupe présentement un poste de professeur adjoint à l’université du Nouveau-Brunswick, à Fredericton, et si rien ne change, il n’aura toujours pas le droit de voter.

Il rappelle, pour les besoins de la cause, qu’aussi loin soit-il, chaque vote compte. « C’est dans l’air du temps, disons, les questions électorales, avec Terrebonne et tout ça », laisse-t-il tomber en référence à l’élection fédérale où le résultat final a donné cette circonscription à la candidate libérale Tatiana Auguste par une voix devant sa rivale bloquiste Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné, alors qu’au moins un vote bloquiste confirmé par correspondance n’a pas été comptabiliséCe résultat est d’ailleurs contesté devant les tribunaux par le Bloc québécois qui invoquera sans doute lui aussi, pour d’autres raisons, l’article 3 de la Charte garantissant le droit de vote de tout citoyen.

Source: Québec peut-il priver les expatriés de leur droit de vote après deux ans d’exil ?

Canadian Immigration Tracker First Quarter 2025

My regular update on key immigration programs, now being updated on a quarterly basis.

Impact of government caps and restrictions can be seen for temporary workers and international students, with levelling off of new permanent residents.

Ministerial mandate letter and related public statements indicate that government likely to maintain current limits and levels until 2027.

This year’s levels plan, which will likely include temporary residents as was the case for last year, will provide confirmation of the government’s intention.

As usual, slide 3 highlights the changes by program.

Producer behind American citizenship reality show first pitched format to CBC with Jonathan Torrens

Of interest, less a survivor zero-sum approach than it first appeared:

Canadian-American producer Rob Worsoff has spent the past week being raked over the coals for pitching a reality TV show to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security – one where immigrants would compete for a fast-track to American citizenship.

The British tabloid Daily Mail, which broke the story and reported that Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem was backing the idea, dubbed the concept “insane.”

American magazine The New Republic called Mr. Worsoff‘s idea “twisted” and “barbaric,” while a column in The Guardian declared: “We’ve entered the realm of the truly depraved.”

But Mr. Worsoff protests that The American, as his unproduced show is tentatively titled, is not a “Hunger Games for immigration.”

Instead, the Montreal-born producer, an American immigrant himself, says that he has long imagined a reality show that would humanize the immigration process – and, in fact, he first pitched the idea in a Canadian version to the CBC alongside TV personality Jonathan Torrens in 2006.

The Canadian was a show that took place in every province and celebrated what it means to be Canadian,” recalls Mr. Worsoff, over the phone from Los Angeles, of the earlier unproduced version of the reality competition….

Source: Producer behind American citizenship reality show first pitched format to CBC with Jonathan Torrens

Citizenship Oath Self-affirmation Canada Gazette feedback: Using LLM and ChatGPT

Prompted by the thorough analysis by Nora Sobel of Red River University of feedback to the government’s proposal to allow for self-affirmation of the citizenship oath (“citizenship on a click”) as well as my earlier more informal analysis, it is interesting to note the respective conclusions.

My take, remarkably good in this example in terms of summarizing the main comments and the relative weighting of comments. ChatGPT’s conclusion reads partly like a general comment calling for “thoughtful implementation that preserves the integrity, symbolism, and inclusiveness of the citizenship oath” while stating a hybrid option as being the most broadly acceptable (i.e., a policy recommendation based on trying to please both groups rather than the essence):

From Sobel:

The analysis identified that a substantial portion of the online comments that supported the new regulations were reflective of specific experiences of the individuals submitting their opinions, especially related to decreasing the time of the citizenship process and increasing flexibility for participating in the citizenship ceremony.

On the other hand, a substantial portion of the online comments that opposed the new regulations were more general and connected to broader political matters, including the importance of the citizenship process, avoiding devaluing Canadian citizenship, respecting Canada, improper process for change in the regulations, improper reasons for change in the regulations, and concerns about the possibility of fraud.

The analysis also uncovered several alternative solutions proposed by participants with distinct positions about the regulations that could build a consensus about this public policy related to the Oath of Citizenship process. Some of the most common proposals were related to identifying a larger number of appropriate authorized officials to be present in the citizenship ceremonies, increasing the options of dates and times offering citizenship ceremonies, and advocating and legislating for paid work time for new Canadian citizens attending the citizenship ceremonies.

In addition, the analysis of the online comments showed another opportunity to build consensus given the common understanding between Canadian-born and not Canadian-born participants that the citizenship ceremony presents a high value for Canada, and that one of the main purposes in this ceremony should be to honour new Canadians.

Google’s LLM:

The provided text contains public feedback and commentary regarding a proposal to alter the process for taking the Canadian Oath of Citizenship, specifically suggesting allowing for self-administered online oaths without an official present. Many respondents support the proposal, citing the potential for reduced waiting times and increased convenience for applicants. Conversely, a significant number of comments strongly oppose the change, arguing it diminishes the importance and solemnity of becoming a citizen and should remain a meaningful in-person ceremonyto foster a sense of community and allegiance to Canada. Concerns about potential fraud and the devaluation of Canadian citizenship were also frequently raised by those against the proposed changes.

ChatGPT (only source cited is Canada Gazette notice, i.e., Sobel’s article not used)

Summary of Canada Gazette Feedback on Proposed Changes to Citizenship Oath Administration

The proposed changes to the Canadian citizenship oath aim to modernize the process by allowing individuals to self-affirm or declare the oath using a computer, without the physical presence of a citizenship official. This initiative is part of a broader effort to streamline administrative procedures, reduce costs, and improve accessibility.

Key Themes from Public and Stakeholder Feedback:

  1. Support for Accessibility and Efficiency: Many respondents welcomed the proposed changes as a positive step toward improving accessibility, especially for individuals in remote areas, those with disabilities, or with scheduling constraints. The digital approach was seen as a cost-effective and time-efficient solution.
  2. Concerns About Integrity and Symbolism: Some stakeholders expressed reservations about the potential erosion of the ceremonial and symbolic aspects of the citizenship oath. Concerns were raised about the importance of the shared experience and the presence of an official to lend solemnity and legitimacy to the process.
  3. Recommendations for Safeguards: Several submissions advocated for built-in safeguards to ensure the authenticity and security of self-administered oaths. Suggestions included secure digital platforms, identity verification protocols, and post-oath follow-ups.
  4. Call for Hybrid Options: There was a general consensus among some stakeholders for offering both virtual and in-person options to cater to diverse preferences and circumstances. Flexibility was emphasized as key to balancing modernization with tradition.
  5. Cultural and Emotional Significance: Feedback underscored the deep cultural and emotional significance of the oath ceremony for new Canadians. Respondents highlighted the importance of preserving a sense of community and recognition in the citizenship process.

Conclusion:

While the majority of feedback reflected support for the proposed modernization efforts, there remains a clear call for thoughtful implementation that preserves the integrity, symbolism, and inclusiveness of the citizenship oath. A hybrid model with robust safeguards may be the most broadly acceptable path forward.

ICYMI: At Supreme Court, a Once-Fringe Birthright Citizenship Theory Takes the Spotlight

Useful analysis of some of the usual suspects of “fringe” legal theories:

Shortly after the Supreme Court announced in April that it would consider the nationwide freeze on President Trump’s executive order ending birthright citizenship, he gleefully spoke to reporters in the Oval Office.

Mr. Trump said that he was “so happy” the justices would take up the citizenship issue because it had been “so misunderstood.” The 14th Amendment, he said — long held to grant citizenship to anyone born in the United States — is actually “about slavery.”

“That’s not about tourists coming in and touching a piece of sand and then all of the sudden there’s citizenship,” Mr. Trump said, adding, “That is all about slavery.”

For more than a century, most scholars and the courts have agreed that though the 14th Amendment was added to the Constitution after the Civil War, it was not, in fact, all about slavery. Instead, courts have held that the amendment extended citizenship not just to the children of former slaves but also to babies born within the borders of the United States.

The notion that the amendment might not do so was once considered an unorthodox theory, promoted by an obscure California law professor named John Eastman and his colleagues at the Claremont Institute, a conservative think tank — the same professor who would later provide Mr. Trump with legal arguments he used to try to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.

The story of how the theory moved from the far edges of academia to the Oval Office and, on Thursday, to the Supreme Court, offers insight into how Mr. Trump has popularized legal theories once considered unthinkable to justify his immigration policies.

“They have been pushing it for decades,” said John Yoo, a law professor at the University of California, Berkeley, School of Law and a top lawyer in the George W. Bush administration. “It was thought to be a wacky idea that only political philosophers would buy. They’ve finally got a president who agrees.”

The White House did not respond to requests for comment.

President Trump promoted the theory during his first campaign but did not act on it until his second term. He signed an executive order on his first day to end birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants and some temporary foreign residents.

Legal challenges were swift and emphatic. Challengers pointed to the text of the 14th Amendment, which states, “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.”

Proponents of the policy have pointed to birthright citizenship as a cornerstone of what it means to be an American, part of the national ethos of the country as a place that is open to everyone, regardless of faith, color or creed. Of the world’s 20 most developed countries, only Canada and the United States grant automatic citizenship to children born within its borders. 

In a brief to the Supreme Court, an immigrant advocacy group argued that “birthright citizenship is at the core of our nation’s foundational precept that all people born on our soil are created equal, regardless of their parentage.”

State attorneys general who are challenging the policy weighed in with a brief that argued that the Supreme Court had already settled the question in the landmark 1898 case of United States v. Wong Kim Ark, when the court found that a man born in San Francisco to Chinese parents was a citizen.

So far, courts have agreed. Judges in Washington State, Massachusetts and Maryland quickly instituted nationwide pauses on Mr. Trump’s policy.

In oral arguments this week, the justices will primarily consider whether federal judges have the power to order these temporary pauses, known as nationwide injunctions. But the question of birthright citizenship will form the backdrop.

In an interview, Mr. Eastman said he developed his views on birthright citizenship after the terrorist attacks on Sept. 11, 2001.

Back then, Mr. Eastman, who had clerked for Justice Clarence Thomas, was a law professor at Chapman University in Orange County, Calif., and director of the Center for Constitutional Jurisprudence at the Claremont Institute.

In late November 2001, a man named Yaser Esam Hamdi was taken into custody by U.S. forces in Afghanistan and transferred to the U.S. military base/prison at Guantánamo Bay.

Officials learned Mr. Hamdi was an American citizen. His mother, a Saudi national, had given birth to him while the family was living in Baton Rouge, La., where Mr. Hamdi’s father was working as a chemical engineer.

Because Mr. Hamdi was a U.S. citizen, the authorities believed they could no longer hold him as an “enemy combatant” in Guantánamo Bay, where he was considered beyond the reach of the full legal protections of federal courts. They transferred him to a naval brig in Norfolk, Va.

In a 2004 friend-of-the-court brief in the case, Mr. Eastman argued that the idea that citizenship was automatically conferred on all children born on American soil was a “generally accepted though erroneous interpretation” of the 14th Amendment that was “incorrect, as a matter of text, historical practice and political theory.”

Mr. Eastman drew on the work of a California State University, San Bernardino political science professor affiliated with the Claremont Institute, Edward J. Erler, who had offered the same theory in books published in 1997 and 2003.

Mr. Erler, who did not respond to a request for comment, arguedthat the children of people in the country illegally, or temporarily, are not automatically citizens.

Although the idea that children born in the United States automatically become citizens has deep roots in the common law, it was not adopted in the text of the Constitution until 1868, as part of the 14th Amendment. It came in a sentence that overturned Dred Scott, the 1857 Supreme Court decision that affirmed slavery and helped prompt the Civil War.

Mr. Eastman claimed that nowhere during the debate over the 14th Amendment had lawmakers agreed to include temporary visitors.

The justices rejected this view, finding that the Constitution’s due process protections applied to Mr. Hamdi.

Still, for years afterward, Mr. Eastman and Mr. Yoo publicly debated the issue, with Mr. Eastman arguing his theory that birthright citizenship was not in the Constitution and Mr. Yooarguing it was.

For much of that time, the debate felt abstract, Mr. Yoo said, of interest mostly to legal scholars.

“Never has an abstract idea had such enormous policy effects,” he said. “It’s like it almost just jumped from law review articles to the White House.”

That leap happened when Mr. Trump ran for president in 2015.

In an interview with the Fox News personality Bill O’Reilly in August 2015, Mr. Trump outlined his plans to overhaul the immigration system. Mr. O’Reilly seemed skeptical at first, and then increasingly frustrated.

Mr. O’Reilly pointed to the 14th Amendment as an impediment to Mr. Trump’s plan. But Mr. Trump responded, “I think you’re wrong about the 14th Amendment.”

“I can quote it — do you want me to quote you the amendment,” Mr. O’Reilly said, nearly shouting. “If you’re born here, you’re an American — period! Period!”

“But there are many lawyers, many lawyers are saying that’s not the way it is,” Mr. Trump responded.

Mr. Eastman said Mr. Trump was “likely” referring to him but also to other academics who had published on the issue. He said he was not sure how his views had reached the presidential candidate.

Mr. Trump did not pursue a plan to end birthright citizenship in his first term. Mr. Eastman said that in 2019 he met with Attorney General William P. Barr at Mr. Barr’s invitation to discuss a possible executive order on birthright citizenship but that nothing came of it. Mr. Barr did not respond to a request for comment.

Mr. Eastman said he was “very happy” when Mr. Trump announced he would end birthright citizenship on his first day back in office.

By then, Mr. Eastman and Mr. Trump had a close association. Mr. Eastman was one of the architects of a plan to create fake slates of pro-Trump electors in states that Joseph R. Biden Jr. won and to urge Vice President Mike Pence to accept those slates while presiding over the certification of the 2020 election.

A California judge recommended that Mr. Eastman be disbarred over the episode. He said he was appealing, though his California law license is currently inactive as a result. He is also fighting criminal charges that are slowly making their way through state court in Arizona. (A case against him and other defendants in Georgia appears unlikely to go forward.)

Mr. Eastman said that the president did not directly consult him about the birthright citizenship order but that several of his friends, whom he declined to name, were involved. “They knew that my scholarship was kind of at the forefront of this,” he said.

Mr. Trump’s order fueled new interest in examining the underpinnings of birthright citizenship, said Ilan Wurman, a law professor at the University of Minnesota and author of a book on the 14th Amendment.

“President Trump has a rather uncanny ability to move Overton windows — issues that people thought were off the table are on the table,” Mr. Wurman said.

Mr. Wurman argues that a close read of the 1898 case and the historical record reveals that the Supreme Court has never firmly held that children born to those illegally present are citizens.

A flurry of friend-of-the-court briefs have brought some of these ideas to the justices, including one from Mr. Eastman.

In a brief to the justices in late April, he argued that although the justices had agreed to hear arguments only about the nationwide pause on the president’s policy, that they should also decide the merits and end birthright citizenship.

“There are a lot of people in the country waiting for resolution of this issue,” he said. “Is the executive order valid or not? And the longer we wait, the more consternation it’s caused.”

Source: At Supreme Court, a Once-Fringe Birthright Citizenship Theory Takes the Spotlight