#COVID19 #Immigration impact: February update

My latest monthly update.

The trend of increased transitions from temporary to permanent residents continued in February and given recent policy and operational changes (lowering of Express Entry minimum CRS score, recently announced targets for healthcare and other essential workers, international students) this trend will likely continue for the balance of the year.

All of these changes, advisable or not, will help the government achieve (or partially achieve) its 2021 target of 401,000 new immigrants. 

Moreover, these changes should also address the imbalance between the higher skilled, who transition at a higher (and increasing rates) and the lower skilled, with lower transition rates).

Interestingly, IMP data now shows a large percentage of “Other IMP Participants.” Typically, this was less than 50 per month but jumped to over 3,000 in February, perhaps due to delayed coding against the individual programs.

In contrast to the relative return to traditional levels of new immigrants, the number of new citizens remains much lower than pre-COVID, from an average of about 21,000 in 2019 to an average of about 6,000 from June 2020 when the program was restarted.

Web statistics show an increase of interest compared to last year for all programs save citizenship. 

About Andrew
Andrew blogs and tweets public policy issues, particularly the relationship between the political and bureaucratic levels, citizenship and multiculturalism. His latest book, Policy Arrogance or Innocent Bias, recounts his experience as a senior public servant in this area.

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