Tremblay | Et si la question des réfugiés devenait l’enjeu principal des élections?

2025/04/11 Leave a comment

Likely not going to happen, as is the case with so many non-Trump tariff etc issues:

…Rappelons qu’en plus des Haïtiens, un très grand nombre de Vénézuéliens et de migrants latino-américains seraient également dans la mire des États-Unis. Le président américain estime le nombre total des « illégaux » à 8 millions. Combien le Canada peut-il en accueillir ? Bien malin celui qui peut répondre à cette question.

Pierre Poilievre a répondu que le Canada devait accueillir les « vrais demandeurs d’asile ». Le Bloc exige, lui, une meilleure répartition de ces réfugiés à travers le pays. Mark Carney affirme impérativement qu’il les renverrait d’où ils arrivent, c’est-à-dire aux États-Unis. Rappelons que l’Entente sur les tiers pays sûrs permet de refouler les demandeurs d’asile qui proviennent des États-Unis. Mais nos voisins sont-ils encore un pays sûr ?

Voici une belle occasion pour les conservateurs et pour le Bloc québécois. Une bonne réponse à la crise migratoire pourrait déterminer l’issue des élections, autant sinon plus que la réponse aux menaces tarifaires. Pierre Poilievre pourrait ici regagner tous les précieux points perdus depuis l’arrivée de Mark Carney en se montrant ferme dans cette crise humanitaire et en rappelant que la crise migratoire est véritablement une crise de la vision libérale de ce pays que Justin Trudeau qualifiait, il n’y a pas si longtemps, de « premier État postnational de la planète ». Le chef conservateur pourrait même s’imposer comme l’homme fort capable à la fois de protéger le Canada et de résister à Trump.

Le Bloc a de son côté l’occasion de revenir dans la mêlée pour défendre les intérêts du Québec qui ont été particulièrement malmenés par la gestion migratoire du gouvernement Trudeau. Quant à Mark Carney, il faut se poser cette question à plusieurs dizaines, voire à plusieurs centaines, de milliards de dollars : pourra-t-il continuer à cacher le bilan libéral, surtout en matière d’immigration et de logement, alors qu’une nouvelle crise migratoire s’annonce ? Quelle crédibilité auront les libéraux pour nous convaincre qu’ils seront les meilleurs pour freiner l’afflux de réfugiés après des années de déni et de laxisme éhontés en la matière ?

Qui a dit que la campagne électorale était déjà terminée ?

Source: Idées | Et si la question des réfugiés devenait l’enjeu principal des élections?

… Recall that in addition to Haitians, a very large number of Venezuelans and Latin American migrants would also be in the sights of the United States. The American president estimates the total number of “illegals” at 8 million. How many can Canada accommodate? Very smart who can answer this question.

Pierre Poilievre replied that Canada should welcome the “real asylum seekers”. The Bloc demands a better distribution of these refugees across the country. Mark Carney imperatively states that he would send them back to where they arrive, that is, to the United States. Recall that the Agreement on Safe Third Countries makes it possible to push back asylum seekers who come from the United States. But are our neighbors still a safe country?

This is a great opportunity for the Conservatives and for the Bloc Québécois. A good response to the migration crisis could determine the outcome of the elections, as much if not more than the response to tariff threats. Pierre Poilievre could here regain all the precious points lost since the arrival of Mark Carney by being firm in this humanitarian crisis and recalling that the migration crisis is truly a crisis of the liberal vision of this country that Justin Trudeau described, not so long ago, as “the first post-national state on the planet”. The conservative leader could even establish himself as the strong man capable of both protecting Canada and resisting Trump.

The Bloc, for its part, has the opportunity to return to the fray to defend Quebec’s interests, which have been particularly mistreated by the Trudeau government’s migration management. As for Mark Carney, we must ask himself this question at several tens, even several hundred, of billions of dollars: will he be able to continue to hide the liberal balance sheet, especially in terms of immigration and housing, while a new migration crisis is announced? What credibility will the Liberals have to convince us that they will be the best at curbing the influx of refugees after years of shameless denial and laxity in this area?

Who said the election campaign was already over?

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Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events 

2025/04/11 Leave a comment

Sigh, can’t they get this right for a change:

The Liberal candidate selected by Mark Carney to replace one who was dropped over a China-related controversy is a member of a Beijing-friendly lobby organization and has given talks at events honouring a Toronto group that advocates for the annexation of Taiwan by China.

Onetime Toronto police deputy chief Peter Yuen, who is now carrying the Liberal banner in the Toronto-area riding of Markham-Unionville, succeeded Paul Chiang. The former MP stepped downApril 1 after news broke that he had talked to reporters about how someone could take a Conservative candidate and human-rights advocate to the Chinese consulate to claim a bounty put on him by Hong Kong authorities.

Foreign interference has been a significant topic in this federal election campaign, including this week when Ottawa’s election-interference watchdog announced that it had detected an information operation from Beijing aimed at shaping public opinion among Chinese-Canadians about Mr. Carney.

Mr. Yuen appears to have a strong relationship with China’s diplomatic mission in Toronto. In 2014, the consulate held an event to mark his promotion to Toronto police superintendent. He has attended consulate celebrations, including one in January, 2020, that included a photo display on Xinjiang province that did not acknowledge Beijing’s brutal treatment of its Muslim Uyghur minority there. Canada’s Parliament adopted a motion in 2021 that declared China’s treatment of its Uyghurs a genocide….

Source: Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events

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Bloc Québécois: Citizenship

2025/04/11 Leave a comment

Nice try, exclusive federal jurisdiction unlike immigration which is shared:

Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET pledged to introduce a bill that would require immigrants to demonstrate an adequate knowledge of French in order to obtain Canadian citizenship from Quebec. At the moment, knowledge of either official language will suffice. 

Blanchet’s proposed law would also require that the citizenship test be conducted in French only in Quebec, and increase the age above which an individual is exempt from the language requirement for citizenship from 55 to 65.

The Bloc may run into some resistance should it pursue this legal change when the next government is formed, if for no other reason than the fact that it implies that one can obtain Canadian citizenship “à partir du Québec”—from the province of Quebec. 

Quebec cannot grant Canadian citizenship, only the Government of Canada can. A federal government that agrees to devolve that authority to a province, by setting different rules depending on where the citizenship applications are processed, would be giving up a serious chunk of sovereignty. 

Source: Bloc Québécois: Citizenship

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Venezuelans facing deportation in the U.S. seeking routes to Canada, including by illegal crossings 

2025/04/10 Leave a comment

Something going on with IRCC and CBSA as monthly stats on asylum claimants from IRCC date from December 2014 and irregular arrivals from RCMP/CBSA date from January (former generally issued in about 5 weeks, latter generally a week or two). Impact of cuts on important data given articles like this:

Venezuelans facing deportation from the United States under President Donald Trump’s immigration clampdown are seeking routes to Canada, including illegal crossings, according to Canadian immigration consultants.

They say some Venezuelans have already crossed into Canada – both at regular border posts and by slipping across – with others preparing to come here to escape being detained and deported from the U.S.

Hundreds of Venezuelans are facing deportation after Mr. Trump announced plans to end Venezuelans’ special protected status, introduced by the Biden administration, shielding them from deportation. Some with alleged links to gangs have already been detained and deported.

Immigration experts working with the Venezuelan community said Canada is viewed as a top destination for those who do not want to be returned.

The Canadian government does not deport Venezuelans to their home country, which is beset by violent crime.

Annie Beaudoin, a Canadian immigration consultant based in California, said “the end of the U.S. Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for thousands of Venezuelans, Haitians, and other foreign nationals, has translated into an increase in illegal crossings into Canada.”

She said some Venezuelans, including health and construction workers, attempting to come through illegal crossings might qualify for visas to come to Canada….

Source: Venezuelans facing deportation in the U.S. seeking routes to Canada, including by illegal crossings

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Une pause du projet de loi sur l’intégration nationale, «ça n’arrivera pas», dit Roberge

2025/04/10 Leave a comment

Not surprising both in substance and political positioning:

Le ministre de l’Immigration, Jean-François Roberge, ne mettra pas « sur pause » l’étude détaillée du projet de loi 84 sur l’intégration nationale, comme l’ont demandé plus d’une centaine d’organismes et de personnalités dans une lettre ouverte. « Ça n’arrivera pas », a-t-il déclaré en mêlée de presse.

« Le projet de loi sur l’intégration nationale est extrêmement important. C’est une réponse au multiculturalisme », a-t-il ajouté.

Selon M. Roberge, également ministre de la Langue française, le projet de loi 84 viendra jeter les bases de comment le Québec accueillera les immigrants, soit en tout respect de la langue et de la culture communes. « Moi, je suis ouvert à avoir certains amendements, mais sur le fond, sur le cœur du projet de loi, on va de l’avant », a-t-il souligné.

Mardi, Le Devoir rapportait que dans une lettre ouverte, plus d’une centaine d’organismes d’aide aux immigrants et de personnalités, telles que Gérard Bouchard et Charles Taylor, ont demandé au ministre d’arrêter l’étude du projet de loi afin de tenir une consultation publique « large et inclusive ». Car celui-ci est loin de faire l’unanimité, avait déclaré la Table de concertation des organismes au service des personnes réfugiées et immigrantes.

Dans la foulée de son dépôt en janvier dernier, le projet de loi 84 avait suscité des inquiétudes chez une trentaine de personnalités publiques, dont d’ex-ministres du Parti québécois et du Parti libéral, qui en avaient critiqué les « accents assimilationnistes ».

D’autres, comme la Centrale des syndicats du Québec (CSQ), avaient dit craindre qu’il ne limite les immigrants dans la défense de leurs droits devant les tribunaux.

Source: Une pause du projet de loi sur l’intégration nationale, «ça n’arrivera pas», dit Roberge

The Minister of Immigration, Jean-François Roberge, will not “pause” the detailed study of Bill 84 on national integration, as requested by more than a hundred organizations and personalities in an open letter. “It won’t happen,” he said in a press scrum.


“The national integration bill is extremely important. It’s a response to multiculturalism,” he added.
According to Mr. Roberge, also Minister of the French Language, Bill 84 will lay the foundations for how Quebec will welcome immigrants, in full respect of the common language and culture. “I am open to having certain amendments, but on the substance, on the heart of the bill, we are going forward,” he stressed.


On Tuesday, Le Devoir reported that in an open letter, more than a hundred immigrant aid organizations and personalities, such as Gérard Bouchard and Charles Taylor, asked the minister to stop the study of the bill in order to hold a “wide and inclusive” public consultation. Because it is far from unanimous, said the Consultation Table of organizations serving refugees and immigrants.


In the wake of its filing last January, Bill 84 had raised concerns among about thirty public figures, including former ministers of the Parti Québécois and the Liberal Party, who had criticized its “assimilationist accents”.


Others, such as the Centrale des syndicats du Québec (CSQ), said they feared that it would limit immigrants in defending their rights in court.

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French parliament restricts birthright citizenship in Mayotte

2025/04/10 Leave a comment

Of note:

France’s parliament on Tuesday definitively adopted a bill to restrict citizenship rights for children born in its Indian Ocean overseas territory of Mayotte.

The bill put forward by the right does not affect the “right of soil”, also known as “jus soli”, for the rest of France.

But critics on the left have slammed the bill as a concession to the anti-immigration far right and fear it paves the way for restrictions nationwide.

At present, a child born in France to foreign parents can be granted French nationality from the age of 13, provided he or she has spent a certain amount of time in France.

But further conditions have existed since 2018 for Mayotte, a French archipelago that attracts a large number of migrants from its poorer neighbour, the Comoros islands, who travel there irregularly seeking a better life.

Until now, children born there additionally needed to have a parent who had resided there legally for at least three months at the time of birth to apply for nationality.

With the new bill, both parents will need to have legally lived there for at least a year, with an exception in place for single parents.

The Senate approved a final text on Thursday, and members of the lower-house national Assembly backed it on Tuesday.

Source: French parliament restricts birthright citizenship in Mayotte

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Experts urge parties to rethink immigration priorities

2025/04/10 Leave a comment

Perspectives from economist Mikal Skuterud, focussing on need to focus on high skilled immigrants, Gauri Sreenivasan, CCR, on refugee concerns and myself on the opportunities for rethinking immigration policies and priorities. pdf link not password protected.

Source: Experts urge parties to rethink immigration priorities, pdf

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Citizenship applications remain strong

2025/04/09 Leave a comment

IRCC just released the 2024 numbers of monthly citizenship applications, confirming that interest in Canadian citizenship remains high, despite an overall decline in citizenship take-up.

Comparing applications, new citizens and permanent residents, highlights that the large increases in applications and new citizens over the last three years, along with the significant increase in permanent residents.

Lastly, as the number of new citizens has exceeded the number of applications, the backlog has dropped below the target of 20 percent, with over 80 percent meeting service standars.

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Provincial immigration applicants in Canada see soaring processing times. They say the system is unfair

2025/04/08 Leave a comment

More fall-out from the needed policy reversals:

…Sangha is among many economic immigrants selected and nominated by individual provinces for permanent residence, who are caught up in processing delays; that’s largely because the federal government cut the number of new permanent residents for 2025 by 25 per cent to 395,000 and reduced it further in the next two years.

The provincial immigration nomination program was one of the biggest casualties, with its allocated spaces halved to 55,000 in 2025, 2026 and 2027. 

Apart from putting newcomers’ lives in limbo, it was a big blow for a program whose aim is to settle economic immigrants outside of Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver to places where their skills are needed.

The federal cuts are “one of the factors that’s suppressing the issuance of the actual PR (permanent residence) and the increase of the processing times,” said Calgary immigration lawyer Mark Holthe, on behalf of the Canadian Immigration Lawyers Association.

Beginning in the late 1990s, the provinces reached deals with Ottawa and started their respective nomination programs to recruit immigrants for local workforce needs. (Quebec has had its own special agreement to select its own immigrants.)

Applicants are screened and then referred to the federal Immigration Department for permanent residence processing. Newcomers are to remain in the province that nominate them.

The current delay in processing provincial immigration applications is only affecting nominees who apply under the “non-express entry” streams, which are not prioritized by federal officials.

Sangha, who came here in 2022 and works in IT for a petroleum company, said it’s unfair that he has to wait 21 months for processing when it takes just seven months for those in the express entry streams….

Source: Provincial immigration applicants in Canada see soaring processing times. They say the system is unfair

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Citizenship: A partial return to in-person ceremonies

2025/04/07 Leave a comment

During the pandemic, IRCC shifted by necessity to holding virtual citizenship ceremonies. Once the pandemic was largely over, a shift back to in-person ceremonies occurred gradually. But the majority new citizens still become citizens through virtual ceremonies.

Reflecting this trend, the department published a Canada Gazette notice allowing for self-affirmation of the citizenship oath (“citizenship on a click”). The petition to Parliament I launched opposing that change, along with considerable negative commentary and likely then Minister Miller’s questioning this proposed change, resulted in it not being implemented.

In response to that petition, the government indicated that approximately two-thirds of all new citizens participated in a virtual ceremony (” From January 1, 2023 to September 30, 2023, the Department has held on average 50 in-person ceremonies and 224 video ceremonies per month with an average of 79 and 135 invited participants per event, respectively.”)

Subsequently, IRCC provided me with citizenship ceremony data from 2020 (start of pandemic) to 2024. The following charts summarize the change over the years.

Figure 1: Number of citizenship ceremonies by type
Figure 2: Relative percentages of in-person and virtual ceremonies

Using the same percentage breakdown between in-person and virtual ceremonies from January to September 2023 (IRCC was unable to provide breakdowns for this dataset), the following chart contrasts the number of new citizens by ceremony type.

IRCC does provide the option for applicants to specify their citizenship ceremony preferences:

The petition recommended that “Most citizenship ceremonies should be in-person.” However, this data highlights that while over 40 percent of 2024 ceremonies are now in-person, it still remains the fact that the majority of new Canadians participate in virtual ceremonies, reflecting the larger average size of virtual ceremonies.

Given the importance of citizenship ceremonies in immigrant integration and citizenship meaningfulness, any future government should continue and accelerate the shift back to in-person ceremonies.

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